24 Jan 2025
4Q2024 Private Property Market Review: Resale and New Launch Trends
Property Insight

The private property market in 2024 demonstrated significant growth, with both new private home sales and resale transactions recovering strongly, especially in the second half of the year. This resurgence was driven by favorable financial conditions, strategic project launches, and renewed buyer confidence.

Key Market Drivers

Lower interest rates, spurred by a rate cut from the US Federal Reserve, boosted buyer sentiment, reducing borrowing costs and making private properties more accessible. Singapore's robust economic recovery, marked by a 4.0% GDP growth in 2024 compared to 1.1% in 2023, further strengthened confidence. Developers capitalized on this favorable environment by introducing 3,425 new units in 4Q2024, a significant increase from 1,284 units in 3Q2024, catering to pent-up demand with well-timed launches.

A tight supply of new launches in the first half of the year redirected buyer interest toward the resale market, particularly for newly completed properties ready for immediate occupancy. The interplay between new sales and resale markets contributed to a dynamic property landscape.

Resale Market Performance

Private resale transactions reached 14,053 units in 2024, reflecting a 24.0% year-on-year increase and marking the highest annual volume since 2021. HDB upgraders played a pivotal role, with their participation rising by 19.2% to 3,988 units, highlighting the continued demand from families seeking larger and higher-quality homes.

New Private Home Sales

New private home sales totaled 6,469 units in 2024, slightly up from 6,421 units in 2023. The market experienced a strong recovery in 4Q2024, with a 2.3% price index increase, rebounding from a 0.7% contraction in 3Q2024. Developers employed curated pricing strategies and favorable financing options, enabling steady sales and maintaining market optimism.

Price Trends and Cooling Measures

Private property prices grew moderately by 3.9% in 2024, compared to 6.8% in 2023, reflecting a stabilization amid tighter borrowing conditions and ongoing government cooling measures. These measures, including higher Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates, effectively curbed speculative demand, ensuring more sustainable growth.

Outlook for 2025

The private property market is projected to maintain stability in 2025. New private home sales are expected to range between 7,000 and 8,000 units, supported by strategic launches and favorable buyer sentiment. Resale transactions are forecasted to reach 14,000 to 15,000 units, with reduced private residential completions moderating supply and driving competition for ready-to-move-in properties.

Private property prices are projected to grow by 3.0% to 6.0% in 2025, underpinned by limited supply and demand from upgraders. Buyers are encouraged to remain cautious, avoiding over-leveraging and considering long-term affordability.

In summary, the private property market in 2024 showcased resilience and growth, fueled by favorable conditions and strategic developer actions. With a balanced outlook for 2025, the market is well-positioned to adapt to evolving economic dynamics and maintain its appeal as a stable investment destination.

Click here for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg  

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Property Insight
04 Jul 2025
Seller’s Stamp Duty Changes 2025: Minimal Impact on Genuine Buyers

On 3 July 2025, the Singapore government announced adjustments to the Seller’s Stamp Duty (SSD), effective from 4 July 2025. The changes involve extending the SSD holding period from three to four years and increasing SSD rates by four percentage points across all tiers. The revised rates restore the SSD framework to its pre-2017 structure, with a 16% duty for properties sold within the first year, tapering to 0% only after four years. Importantly, these changes do not apply to HDB flat owners.

Why This Matters

The policy is timely given the fragile global economic backdrop, including persistent trade tensions, tariff volatility, and geopolitical uncertainties. With Singapore’s 2025 GDP growth forecast set between 0.0% and 2.0%, the SSD revision serves as a preemptive safeguard. It is designed to discourage short-term speculative activity, moderate knee-jerk market reactions, and build long-term market resilience.

Market Reaction and Holding Periods

The revised SSD is expected to have minimal impact on genuine homebuyers and long-term investors. Transaction data from SRI Research shows that average holding periods already exceed the new 4-year requirement across various segments:

This reinforces that the market is primarily driven by owner-occupiers and long-horizon investors rather than speculative flippers.

Sustainable Market Momentum

The SSD revision aligns with a broader strategy to sustain healthy market momentum. According to URA’s 2Q2025 flash estimates, private home prices rose 0.5%, moderating slightly from the 0.8% increase in 1Q2025. Developers are adopting a more calibrated launch strategy, balancing supply with demand, and promoting sustainable absorption.

Outlook

Far from being a deterrent to long-term investment, the SSD changes are seen as a structural reinforcement of market stability. They protect long-term asset value, offer confidence to serious buyers, and enhance Singapore’s reputation as a safe and transparent investment hub. As more launches are expected in 2H2025, the policy provides developers and buyers with a clear framework to plan within a disciplined, fundamentals-driven property cycle.

Click

here

for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: research@sri.com.sg

Property Insight
03 Jul 2025
CCR Property Prices Rise in 1H2025 Amid Renewed Luxury Market Confidence

The Core Central Region (CCR) continued to demonstrate resilience and growth in the first half of 2025. According to flash estimates, non-landed private residential prices in the CCR increased by 3.1%, slightly above the 3.0% growth in 1H2024. Notably, 2Q2025 alone contributed a 2.3% rise, rebounding from a more muted 0.8% gain in the first quarter. This sequential improvement underscores renewed confidence and a firmer price trajectory in the prime segment.

High-value transactions, particularly in the $10 million and above category, nearly doubled year-on-year to 29 deals in 1H2025, with 21 Anderson, Park Nova, and Skywaters Residences recording standout performances. This uplift reflects healthy demand for large-format luxury homes in coveted CCR addresses and has reinforced price resilience, especially in the new sale market.

New sale activity in CCR also showed signs of recovery, with an estimated 236 transactions in 1H2025, a 26.2% increase from the 187 units sold in 1H2024. While still below the peak of 986 units in 1H2023, the figures signal a gradual return of buyer confidence. The rebound follows the cautious sentiment in 2024, largely influenced by the April 2023 ABSD hike, including the steep 60% rate on foreign buyers.

Looking ahead, the market is poised for revitalisation with a slate of anticipated launches in 2H2025, including The Robertson Opus, W Residences – Marina View, Upperhouse at Orchard Boulevard, River Green, Skye at Holland, and One Leonie Residences. With limited fresh supply and evolving urban transformation under the Draft Master Plan 2025, these projects are expected to reignite interest in the CCR.

The evolving demand for well-positioned homes, stable macro fundamentals, and selective pricing strategies by developers have set the stage for a more sustained recovery in Singapore’s prime residential segment.

Click

here

for the full report 

 Prepared By: 

Mohan Sandrasegeran 

Head of Research & Data Analytics 

  

  

Email:

research@sri.com.sg

 

  

   

Property Insight
01 Jul 2025
Q2 2025 Flash Estimates Signal Steady Price Growth Across Private and HDB Segments

In the second quarter of 2025, Singapore’s private residential property market continued to show steady growth, with the price index rising by 0.5%, slightly below the 0.8% recorded in the first quarter. 

Developers adopted a more cautious approach in light of external uncertainties such as the Liberation Day tariff announcements and the General Election. This conservative stance helped support pricing levels amid a quieter launch pipeline.

The broader private residential market is expected to hold firm in the second half of 2025, buoyed by upcoming launches across a range of housing segments—from luxury freehold homes to Executive Condominiums (ECs) in emerging locations. 

In the public housing segment, the HDB resale market showed continued signs of price moderation. Resale prices rose by 0.9% in 2Q2025, following a 1.6% increase in the previous quarter. Cumulatively, prices grew by 2.5% in the first half of 2025, compared to 4.2% in the first half of 2024. 

Looking ahead, the HDB resale market is expected to remain resilient, supported by demand from families, couples, and unsuccessful BTO applicants. 

Over 50,000 new flats are set to be launched from 2025 to 2027, including Shorter Waiting Time flats and Sale of Balance Flats (SBF). Additionally, 50,000 existing flats will reach their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) between 2026 to 2028, expanding resale supply and easing price pressures. 

Click

here

for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: research@sri.com.sg

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