24 Jan 2025
4Q2024 Private Property Market Review: Resale and New Launch Trends
Property Insight

The private property market in 2024 demonstrated significant growth, with both new private home sales and resale transactions recovering strongly, especially in the second half of the year. This resurgence was driven by favorable financial conditions, strategic project launches, and renewed buyer confidence.

Key Market Drivers

Lower interest rates, spurred by a rate cut from the US Federal Reserve, boosted buyer sentiment, reducing borrowing costs and making private properties more accessible. Singapore's robust economic recovery, marked by a 4.0% GDP growth in 2024 compared to 1.1% in 2023, further strengthened confidence. Developers capitalized on this favorable environment by introducing 3,425 new units in 4Q2024, a significant increase from 1,284 units in 3Q2024, catering to pent-up demand with well-timed launches.

A tight supply of new launches in the first half of the year redirected buyer interest toward the resale market, particularly for newly completed properties ready for immediate occupancy. The interplay between new sales and resale markets contributed to a dynamic property landscape.

Resale Market Performance

Private resale transactions reached 14,053 units in 2024, reflecting a 24.0% year-on-year increase and marking the highest annual volume since 2021. HDB upgraders played a pivotal role, with their participation rising by 19.2% to 3,988 units, highlighting the continued demand from families seeking larger and higher-quality homes.

New Private Home Sales

New private home sales totaled 6,469 units in 2024, slightly up from 6,421 units in 2023. The market experienced a strong recovery in 4Q2024, with a 2.3% price index increase, rebounding from a 0.7% contraction in 3Q2024. Developers employed curated pricing strategies and favorable financing options, enabling steady sales and maintaining market optimism.

Price Trends and Cooling Measures

Private property prices grew moderately by 3.9% in 2024, compared to 6.8% in 2023, reflecting a stabilization amid tighter borrowing conditions and ongoing government cooling measures. These measures, including higher Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates, effectively curbed speculative demand, ensuring more sustainable growth.

Outlook for 2025

The private property market is projected to maintain stability in 2025. New private home sales are expected to range between 7,000 and 8,000 units, supported by strategic launches and favorable buyer sentiment. Resale transactions are forecasted to reach 14,000 to 15,000 units, with reduced private residential completions moderating supply and driving competition for ready-to-move-in properties.

Private property prices are projected to grow by 3.0% to 6.0% in 2025, underpinned by limited supply and demand from upgraders. Buyers are encouraged to remain cautious, avoiding over-leveraging and considering long-term affordability.

In summary, the private property market in 2024 showcased resilience and growth, fueled by favorable conditions and strategic developer actions. With a balanced outlook for 2025, the market is well-positioned to adapt to evolving economic dynamics and maintain its appeal as a stable investment destination.

Click here for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg  

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Investor preference continued to favour longer-tenure properties. Freehold shophouses accounted for 76.0% of total transaction value in 1H2026, broadly unchanged from the previous year, while transaction value within this segment increased substantially from $176.7 million to $224.0 million. Although 99-year leasehold properties recorded a higher share of overall transactions compared to a year ago, demand remained firmly concentrated in freehold and 999-year leasehold assets, which together represented 84.0% of total transaction value. This reflects continued demand for scarce commercial assets that offer long-term capital preservation, stable rental income and limited exposure to lease decay.

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Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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Berlayar Drive GLS Attracts Sole Top Bid of $576.8 Million

The Berlayar Drive Government Land Sales site attracted a sole bid of $576.8 million, equivalent to $1,515 per square foot per plot ratio, from a joint venture between Intrepid Investments Pte. Ltd. and GuocoLand (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. The bid underscores the developers’ continued conviction in the long-term potential of the Greater Southern Waterfront and their commitment to establishing a presence within one of Singapore’s most significant waterfront transformation precincts. 

Although the site received only one bid, this should not necessarily be interpreted as weak confidence in its prospects. Instead, it reflects increasingly disciplined land-acquisition strategies amid a larger GLS pipeline and more selective capital deployment. With a wider range of sites available, developers are likely to prioritise parcels that best complement their existing landbanks, development pipelines and risk profiles.

Berlayar Drive is the second private residential parcel within the new estate, following the Telok Blangah Road site. A further residential parcel at Berlayar Close is expected to be launched in December. This phased release reflects the Government’s measured approach to developing the Greater Southern Waterfront, allowing future housing supply to be introduced progressively rather than all at once.

The Berlayar Drive site is expected to yield approximately 415 residential units. Its smaller project scale should require a lower upfront capital commitment and reduce construction, financing and market-absorption risks compared with larger developments. The site also carries a maximum building height of five storeys, creating the potential for a distinctive low-rise residential offering focused on privacy, greenery and resort-style living.

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Prepared By:

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Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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Chitty Road and Veerasamy Road GLS Tender Draws $35.3 Million Top Bid

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Under the SA2 option, the site may accommodate up to 36 serviced apartment units with a minimum stay of three months. This could appeal to professionals, expatriates and other residents seeking medium- to longer-term accommodation. The higher unit yield may also offer the developer recurring rental income and greater operational flexibility.

Alternatively, the site could be developed into up to 18 strata landed houses, subject to approval. This option may appeal to affluent owner-occupiers and collectors seeking rare, restored heritage homes within a city-fringe location. With few new landed developments entering the market, the combination of conservation architecture and modern residential use could create a highly differentiated product.

The development’s value creation potential will depend less on maximising density and more on delivering a high-quality restoration. The investment proposition is therefore centred on placemaking, heritage preservation and product differentiation. The site may also benefit from the wider transformation of the surrounding precinct, including continued public investment and the nearby River Peaks I and II public housing developments.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg