24 Jan 2025
4Q2024 Private Property Market Review: Resale and New Launch Trends
Property Insight

The private property market in 2024 demonstrated significant growth, with both new private home sales and resale transactions recovering strongly, especially in the second half of the year. This resurgence was driven by favorable financial conditions, strategic project launches, and renewed buyer confidence.

Key Market Drivers

Lower interest rates, spurred by a rate cut from the US Federal Reserve, boosted buyer sentiment, reducing borrowing costs and making private properties more accessible. Singapore's robust economic recovery, marked by a 4.0% GDP growth in 2024 compared to 1.1% in 2023, further strengthened confidence. Developers capitalized on this favorable environment by introducing 3,425 new units in 4Q2024, a significant increase from 1,284 units in 3Q2024, catering to pent-up demand with well-timed launches.

A tight supply of new launches in the first half of the year redirected buyer interest toward the resale market, particularly for newly completed properties ready for immediate occupancy. The interplay between new sales and resale markets contributed to a dynamic property landscape.

Resale Market Performance

Private resale transactions reached 14,053 units in 2024, reflecting a 24.0% year-on-year increase and marking the highest annual volume since 2021. HDB upgraders played a pivotal role, with their participation rising by 19.2% to 3,988 units, highlighting the continued demand from families seeking larger and higher-quality homes.

New Private Home Sales

New private home sales totaled 6,469 units in 2024, slightly up from 6,421 units in 2023. The market experienced a strong recovery in 4Q2024, with a 2.3% price index increase, rebounding from a 0.7% contraction in 3Q2024. Developers employed curated pricing strategies and favorable financing options, enabling steady sales and maintaining market optimism.

Price Trends and Cooling Measures

Private property prices grew moderately by 3.9% in 2024, compared to 6.8% in 2023, reflecting a stabilization amid tighter borrowing conditions and ongoing government cooling measures. These measures, including higher Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates, effectively curbed speculative demand, ensuring more sustainable growth.

Outlook for 2025

The private property market is projected to maintain stability in 2025. New private home sales are expected to range between 7,000 and 8,000 units, supported by strategic launches and favorable buyer sentiment. Resale transactions are forecasted to reach 14,000 to 15,000 units, with reduced private residential completions moderating supply and driving competition for ready-to-move-in properties.

Private property prices are projected to grow by 3.0% to 6.0% in 2025, underpinned by limited supply and demand from upgraders. Buyers are encouraged to remain cautious, avoiding over-leveraging and considering long-term affordability.

In summary, the private property market in 2024 showcased resilience and growth, fueled by favorable conditions and strategic developer actions. With a balanced outlook for 2025, the market is well-positioned to adapt to evolving economic dynamics and maintain its appeal as a stable investment destination.

Click here for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg  

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Hougang Central GLS Attracts Top Bid of $1,179 psf ppr

The tender for the Hougang Avenue 10 / Hougang Central GLS site attracted sustained developer interest despite a more measured bidding environment. The mixed use site, which allows for a residential and commercial development integrated with a bus interchange, drew 3 bidders, reflecting selective yet committed participation for large scale integrated developments. This level of interest mirrors the earlier Chencharu Close tender, suggesting that developers remain focused on quality and strategic positioning rather than volume driven bidding 

The top bid of $1.50 billion was submitted by Horizon Residential Pte. Ltd. under UOL together with Horizon Commercial Trustee Pte. Ltd. under CapitaLand, translating to $1,179 psf ppr. This offer narrowly edged out the second highest bid by just 2.1 percent, highlighting strong conviction and disciplined pricing among the top contenders. The close spread between bids indicates that developers share a broadly aligned view on the underlying value of this site, particularly given its scale, commercial component, and transport integration.

The relatively limited number of bidders should be viewed in the context of the project’s size and complexity. Large integrated developments require strong balance sheets, operational expertise, and long term capital commitment. As such, participation tends to be concentrated among developers with proven mixed use experience. The high absolute bid values suggest that participating developers are taking a long term view of Hougang Central’s role as a town centre anchor that can support both residential demand and sustained retail activity over time.

From a locational perspective, the site benefits from immediate adjacency to Hougang MRT station, which supports strong and consistent footfall throughout the day. This advantage is expected to strengthen further when Hougang becomes an interchange with the completion of the new line around 2030. The surrounding mature HDB catchment provides a ready residential base that enhances the commercial viability of the development, while the integrated nature of the project appeals to both homeowners and investors seeking convenience and accessibility.

Looking ahead, broader infrastructure and planning initiatives under the Master Plan 2025 further reinforce the site’s appeal. Improved connectivity from the Cross Island Line, planned upgrades to Hougang Sport Centre, proximity to schools and healthcare facilities, and access to recreational spaces collectively enhance liveability and long term value. 

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here

for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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Private New Home Sales in November 2025 Anchored by The Sen

Private new home sales in November 2025 moderated from the exceptionally strong performance seen in October, largely due to the absence of major new launches rather than a deterioration in underlying demand. Developer sales excluding executive condominiums reached 325 units, easing from 2,424 units in October. This moderation followed a sharp contrast in launch volumes, as October benefited from the release of 2,233 units, while November saw only 347 units launched, all of which came exclusively from a single project, The Sen.

Despite the quieter month, buyer activity remained well supported. The Rest of Central Region emerged as the dominant contributor, accounting for 66.2 percent of all private new home sales. This strong showing was directly linked to the launch of The Sen, which anchored market activity and became the focal point for buyers seeking well located city fringe homes. The Outside Central Region contributed 24.6 percent of sales, reflecting continued interest from buyers prioritising affordability and family sized layouts in suburban locations. 

At the project level, The Sen was the clear standout, achieving 77 units sold and leading the sales chart by a wide margin. As the final non landed private residential launch of 2025, it attracted sustained interest from both owner occupiers and investors, especially in a month with no competing new projects. Other RCR developments also recorded steady transactions. The Continuum and Bloomsbury Residences each sold 22 units, supported by their city fringe positioning. Overall, November’s sales distribution highlighted how buyers gravitated toward projects that offered either fresh market visibility or compelling value propositions when supply was limited 

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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The 2026 HDB resale market is poised for a more balanced and sustainable year, shaped primarily by a strong uplift in resale supply and steady underlying demand. As 2025 draws to a close, resale activity has moderated, influenced by expanded new flat launches and a much smaller cohort of flats reaching Minimum Occupation Period in 2025. Based on data from HDB and data.gov.sg, the first 11 months of 2025 recorded about 23,924 resale transactions, reflecting a 10.2 percent moderation compared to the same period in 2024.

The new flat supply landscape in 2025 played a significant role in shaping buyer behaviour. BTO launches rose slightly year on year, while Sale of Balance Flats supply expanded sharply to 10,252 units due to two SBF exercises conducted within the year. Standard flats made up the bulk of the BTO supply at 50.6 percent, underscoring HDB’s continued focus on broad accessibility. Prime and Plus flats, which accounted for 36.5 percent and 12.9 percent respectively, continued to attract households drawn to central locations and long term value potential, even as clawback rates were progressively refined. 

Demand fundamentals remain resilient as household formation stays steady and policy enhancements support right sizing among seniors. Findings from HDB’s latest Sample Household Survey also show more young families living near parents, boosting demand in established towns. Taken together, 2026 is expected to be a year of healthier balance, steady performance, and moderated price growth anchored by a significantly larger supply pipeline and stable demographic needs.

Click

here

for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg