SRI - Singapore Realtors Inc.

02 Jan 2026

4Q2025 Flash Estimates Reflect Sustainable Residential Market Momentum

Property Insight

The 4Q2025 flash estimates indicate that Singapore’s residential property market is transitioning into a more sustainable and balanced phase, marked by moderated price growth, resilient underlying demand, and a clearer alignment between supply and buyer absorption. In the private residential segment, prices continued to moderate in 4Q2025, recording a 0.7% quarter on quarter increase, easing from the 0.9% growth seen in 3Q2025. For the full year, private home prices rose by 3.4% in 2025, slightly lower than the 3.9% increase recorded in 2024.

Non landed new home sales in 2025 continued to be anchored firmly in the mass market price segments. Units priced between $1.0 million and $2.0 million accounted for 44.2% of total transactions, remaining broadly stable compared to 2024.

Looking ahead, the outlook for the 2026 private residential market remains stable. While transaction volumes may moderate from the exceptionally strong levels seen in 2025, demand is expected to remain resilient. Importantly, the market is not facing a supply shortfall. The confirmed list under the 1H2026 Government Land Sales programme provides a substantial pipeline of new supply, with units about 50% higher than the ten-year average. This deliberate injection of land supply helps mitigate upward price pressures and supports long term market stability.

In the public housing market, HDB resale prices showed clear signs of stabilization. Prices were unchanged in 4Q2025, and for the full year, resale prices rose by about 2.9%, a sharp moderation from the 9.7% increase in 2024. This reflects improved market balance amid a steady ramp up in BTO supply and a significant expansion in Sale of Balance Flats exercises, which provided buyers with more ready or near ready alternatives.

Overall, both private and public housing markets are entering 2026 on a more sustainable footing, with price growth moderating in line with increased supply and demand remaining structurally supported

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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Singapore Office Market Review 1H2026: Improving Fundamentals Support Recovery

Singapore’s office market showed early signs of recovery in the first half of 2026, supported by improving economic fundamentals, resilient occupier demand and firmer investor sentiment. The price index for office space in the Central Region increased by 0.5% in 1H2026, reversing the -1.2% moderation recorded in 1H2025. While the improvement remains modest, the return to positive growth suggests that office capital values are beginning to stabilize.

The improvement comes alongside stronger economic conditions, with Singapore’s economy expanding by 5.9% year on year in 2Q2026. Sustained demand for digital solutions, banking and insurance activities, as well as professional and technical services, has provided a supportive backdrop for office leasing demand.

Although 99-year leasehold properties continued to dominate strata office transactions with a 66.2% share in 1H2026, this was lower than 74.5% a year earlier. Meanwhile, the combined share of freehold and 999-year leasehold properties increased from 25.5% to 33.8%, indicating stronger interest in assets offering longer-term value preservation.

Leasing fundamentals continued to provide an important source of support. The Central Region office Rental Index increased by 0.6% in 1H2026, compared with no growth in 1H2025. The simultaneous improvement in rents and capital values suggests that the recovery is being supported by genuine occupier demand, with stronger rental income helping to underpin asset valuations and investment returns.

Looking ahead, Singapore’s office market is expected to remain on a stable footing in the second half of 2026. Resilient economic growth, healthy labour market conditions and continued expansion across office-intensive industries should support occupier demand. While investment activity may remain selective amid geopolitical uncertainty and disciplined capital deployment, improving leasing fundamentals are expected to continue supporting rental and capital value stability.

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here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

Property Insight

Singapore Shophouse Market 1H2026: Higher Value Deals Drive Investment Growth

Singapore's shophouse market in 1H2026 demonstrated continued resilience despite a moderation in transaction volumes, with investment activity increasingly concentrated in higher-value assets. While the number of caveated shophouse transactions declined from 34 deals in 1H2025 to 25 deals in 1H2026, the total transaction value increased by 14.9% year-on-year, rising from $234.7 million to $269.5 million. This suggests that investors remained willing to deploy significant capital into larger, well-located and higher-quality conservation assets, reinforcing confidence in the long-term fundamentals of the shophouse sector.

Investor preference continued to favour longer-tenure properties. Freehold shophouses accounted for 76.0% of total transaction value in 1H2026, broadly unchanged from the previous year, while transaction value within this segment increased substantially from $176.7 million to $224.0 million. Although 99-year leasehold properties recorded a higher share of overall transactions compared to a year ago, demand remained firmly concentrated in freehold and 999-year leasehold assets, which together represented 84.0% of total transaction value. This reflects continued demand for scarce commercial assets that offer long-term capital preservation, stable rental income and limited exposure to lease decay.

Looking ahead, investment demand is expected to remain resilient through the second half of 2026, supported by Singapore's healthy economic performance, lower interest rate environment and the structural scarcity of conserved shophouses. Investors are likely to continue prioritising well-located assets offering resilient rental income, asset enhancement opportunities and long-term capital appreciation. The combination of limited supply, heritage value and stable income-generating potential is expected to provide continued support for transaction values and reinforce the long-term attractiveness of Singapore's shophouse market.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

Property Insight

Berlayar Drive GLS Attracts Sole Top Bid of $576.8 Million

The Berlayar Drive Government Land Sales site attracted a sole bid of $576.8 million, equivalent to $1,515 per square foot per plot ratio, from a joint venture between Intrepid Investments Pte. Ltd. and GuocoLand (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. The bid underscores the developers’ continued conviction in the long-term potential of the Greater Southern Waterfront and their commitment to establishing a presence within one of Singapore’s most significant waterfront transformation precincts.

Although the site received only one bid, this should not necessarily be interpreted as weak confidence in its prospects. Instead, it reflects increasingly disciplined land-acquisition strategies amid a larger GLS pipeline and more selective capital deployment. With a wider range of sites available, developers are likely to prioritise parcels that best complement their existing landbanks, development pipelines and risk profiles.

Berlayar Drive is the second private residential parcel within the new estate, following the Telok Blangah Road site. A further residential parcel at Berlayar Close is expected to be launched in December. This phased release reflects the Government’s measured approach to developing the Greater Southern Waterfront, allowing future housing supply to be introduced progressively rather than all at once.

The Berlayar Drive site is expected to yield approximately 415 residential units. Its smaller project scale should require a lower upfront capital commitment and reduce construction, financing and market-absorption risks compared with larger developments. The site also carries a maximum building height of five storeys, creating the potential for a distinctive low-rise residential offering focused on privacy, greenery and resort-style living.

Future residents are expected to benefit from proximity to Telok Blangah MRT station, VivoCity, Sentosa, the Southern Ridges and Labrador Nature Reserve. This combination of connectivity, retail and lifestyle amenities, waterfront surroundings and access to nature is likely to support healthy long-term owner-occupier demand.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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