02 Jan 2026
4Q2025 Flash Estimates Reflect Sustainable Residential Market Momentum
Property Insight

The 4Q2025 flash estimates indicate that Singapore’s residential property market is transitioning into a more sustainable and balanced phase, marked by moderated price growth, resilient underlying demand, and a clearer alignment between supply and buyer absorption. In the private residential segment, prices continued to moderate in 4Q2025, recording a 0.7% quarter on quarter increase, easing from the 0.9% growth seen in 3Q2025. For the full year, private home prices rose by 3.4% in 2025, slightly lower than the 3.9% increase recorded in 2024. 

Non landed new home sales in 2025 continued to be anchored firmly in the mass market price segments. Units priced between $1.0 million and $2.0 million accounted for 44.2% of total transactions, remaining broadly stable compared to 2024. 

Looking ahead, the outlook for the 2026 private residential market remains stable. While transaction volumes may moderate from the exceptionally strong levels seen in 2025, demand is expected to remain resilient. Importantly, the market is not facing a supply shortfall. The confirmed list under the 1H2026 Government Land Sales programme provides a substantial pipeline of new supply, with units about 50% higher than the ten-year average. This deliberate injection of land supply helps mitigate upward price pressures and supports long term market stability. 

In the public housing market, HDB resale prices showed clear signs of stabilization. Prices were unchanged in 4Q2025, and for the full year, resale prices rose by about 2.9%, a sharp moderation from the 9.7% increase in 2024. This reflects improved market balance amid a steady ramp up in BTO supply and a significant expansion in Sale of Balance Flats exercises, which provided buyers with more ready or near ready alternatives.

Overall, both private and public housing markets are entering 2026 on a more sustainable footing, with price growth moderating in line with increased supply and demand remaining structurally supported

Click here for the full report  

  

  

  

Prepared By: 

Mohan Sandrasegeran 

Head of Research & Data Analytics 

  

  

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg  

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For ECs, the increase to S$18,000 broadens the potential buyer pool, particularly among dual-income households that have moved beyond the revised HDB ceiling but remain within EC eligibility. However, the market impact will be gradual because the new ceiling applies only to new EC units where the land sale tender closes on or after 24 August 2026.

Overall, the measures represent a wider housing life-cycle recalibration rather than a change focused solely on BTO eligibility. By updating income thresholds across multiple housing programmes, expanding EC accessibility and providing additional ballot chances for first-time families with children from the February 2027 sales exercise, the framework broadens housing options while allowing eligibility parameters to evolve alongside household incomes and circumstances.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

Property Insight
17 Aug 2026
July 2026 New Home Sales Surge as Major Project Launches Return

Singapore’s primary residential market rebounded strongly in July 2026, with developers selling 731 new private homes excluding Executive Condominiums (ECs), up sharply from 156 units in June. The recovery was driven by the return of fresh residential supply after June recorded no new private residential launches, highlighting the close relationship between launch activity and monthly developer sales. 

A total of 889 units were launched across six projects during July. Lentor Gardens Residences and Dunearn House accounted for the bulk of new supply, launching 499 and 250 units respectively. Together, the two projects contributed 749 units, or approximately 83.3% of all units launched during the month. Their strong performance also accounted for 65.9% of all new private homes sold excluding ECs, demonstrating the significant role that major new launches continue to play in shaping monthly sales volumes.

Lentor Gardens Residences was July’s best-selling project, recording 270 transactions at a median price of $2,357 psf. The development’s performance suggests that buyer confidence in the Lentor precinct remains resilient despite it being the seventh private residential project introduced within the estate. As the neighbourhood matures, buyers are increasingly able to assess completed developments, operational amenities and the precinct’s overall liveability, providing greater certainty over its longer-term appeal. External market reporting also recorded 270 sales at Lentor Gardens Residences during its launch period.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg