SRI - Singapore Realtors Inc.

02 Jan 2025

4Q2024 Flash Estimates: Singapore’s Property Market at a Turning Point

Property Insight

The 4Q2024 URA and HDB Flash Estimates reveal a notable recovery in the private property market and a tempered growth in the HDB resale market. According to SRI Research, the private property price index grew by 2.3% in 4Q2024, rebounding from a 0.7% decline in the previous quarter. This resurgence is attributed to easing interest rates and a wave of new project launches, which boosted buyer confidence and increased transaction volumes.

Private property transactions saw a substantial quarter-on-quarter rise, with volume increasing by 25.0% to 6,715 units and transaction value surging 33.6% to $15.7 billion. The $1.5 million to $3.0 million price segment led the market, growing from 63.6% of sales in 2023 to 70.3% in 2024, reflecting buyers' preference for affordability and value. Overall, private property prices in 2024 increased moderately by 3.9%, down from the 6.8% growth recorded in 2023, signaling a stabilizing market influenced by Government Land Sales (GLS), inflationary pressures, and earlier cooling measures.

In the HDB resale market, prices grew at a slower pace of 2.5% in 4Q2024, compared to 2.7% in 3Q2024. Annual growth, however, reached 9.6%, nearly doubling the 4.9% increase in 2023. Cooling measures introduced in 3Q2024 have tempered million-dollar transactions, which declined by 13.9% quarter-on-quarter to 285 units in 4Q2024. Despite this, the overall number of such transactions in 2024 remains historically elevated, supported by demand for spacious executive flats and flats in mature estates.

Newer flats in mature estates dominated the million-dollar resale segment, accounting for 375 out of 382 transactions for flats with lease commencement dates from 2013 onwards. These properties are favoured for their accessibility, modern layouts, and longer leases, highlighting the importance of strategic urban planning in addressing buyer preferences.

In summary, the 4Q2024 estimates depict a recovering private property market and a resilient HDB resale segment, shaped by adaptive buyer sentiments and strategic interventions. Both markets are set for stable growth in 2025, underscored by a balance of robust demand, limited supply, and regulatory oversight.

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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Singapore CCR Luxury Homes See Strong Sales Recovery in 1H2026

Singapore’s luxury residential market in the Core Central Region (CCR) remained resilient during the first half of 2026, although price growth moderated as the market transitioned towards a healthier balance between supply and demand. Based on URA flash estimates, the non-landed private residential price index in the CCR increased by an estimated 2.6% in 1H2026, compared with 3.8% in 1H2025. While capital appreciation eased, the continued increase reflects sustained confidence in Singapore’s prime residential market amid expanding supply and evolving buyer preferences.

A key development during the period was the significant revival in new project launches. Approximately 701 units were launched in the CCR, representing the strongest half-year launch pipeline since 1H2022 and a sharp increase from just 96 units in 1H2025. This recovery was primarily driven by River Modern and Newport Residences, reflecting the gradual rollout of projects from previously awarded Government Land Sales (GLS) sites and providing buyers with a broader selection of luxury homes.

The stronger supply translated into a sharp rebound in new home sales. An estimated 761 new homes were sold in 1H2026, more than tripling the 236 units recorded a year earlier and marking the highest sales volume since 1H2023. River Modern led the market with 424 units sold at a median price of $3,229 psf, while Newport Residences achieved 198 sales at a median price of $3,070 psf. Together, these two projects accounted for about 81.7% of all new CCR home sales, highlighting their significant contribution to market recovery.

Looking ahead, the luxury residential market is expected to remain active in the second half of 2026 with upcoming launches such as Dunearn House, Amberwood at Holland, and The Serra Residences. Supported by a healthy pipeline of new supply, resilient domestic demand, and Singapore’s reputation as a global financial centre and safe-haven destination, the CCR market is expected to maintain stable transaction activity while continuing its transition towards more sustainable long-term growth.

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here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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1H2026 Singapore Landed Property Report: Key Trends, Prices and Buyer Insights

Singapore's landed residential market remained resilient during the first half of 2026, supported by limited housing supply, healthy owner-occupier demand and sustained interest from affluent buyers. According to the latest market data, landed property prices recorded a cumulative increase of 2.2% in 1H2026, slightly below the 2.6% growth registered during the same period in 2025. While price appreciation has moderated, the market continues to demonstrate strong underlying fundamentals, with landed homes retaining their appeal as scarce, long-term wealth preservation assets.

Transaction activity also strengthened during the period, with 1,043 landed homes changing hands, representing a 3.4% year-on-year increase from 1,009 transactions in 1H2025. Terrace houses remained the dominant segment, accounting for 58.2% of all landed transactions, followed by semi-detached houses at 30.1% and detached houses at 11.7%. Detached house sales recorded the strongest growth, rising 25.8% year-on-year, supported by sustained activity within the Good Class Bungalow (GCB) market.

Looking ahead, Singapore's landed residential market is expected to remain fundamentally resilient throughout the second half of 2026. Structural supply constraints, healthy household balance sheets and sustained owner-occupier demand are expected to continue supporting gradual price appreciation. The upcoming launch of Vila Natura, one of the few new landed developments entering the market, is also expected to generate fresh buyer interest and provide an important indication of pricing appetite for newly built landed homes.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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2Q2026 Singapore Property Flash Estimates: Stable Demand & Moderate Prices

Singapore's residential property market continued its transition towards a more balanced and sustainable growth phase in 2Q2026, with both the private residential and HDB resale markets showing signs of moderation driven largely by improving housing supply rather than weakening demand.

According to the flash estimates, private residential property prices increased by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter in 2Q2026, easing from the 0.9% growth recorded in 1Q2026. This brought cumulative price growth for the first half of 2026 to 1.4%, compared with 1.8% during the same period in 2025. The moderation reflects a market returning to a more sustainable trajectory following stronger momentum earlier in the year. Limited new project launches, changes to the Executive Condominium (EC) policy framework, and seasonal factors such as the June school holidays contributed to a slower pace of transactions.

Developers launched an estimated 1,705 private residential units across three projects—Tengah Garden Residences, Vela Bay and Hudson Place Residences—slightly lower than the 1,844 units launched in 1Q2026. Despite the reduced supply, buyer demand remained resilient, with the average launch weekend take-up rate improving from 70.5% to 77.5%. This demonstrates continued demand for well-located and competitively priced developments, particularly among owner-occupiers and HDB upgraders supported by stable employment and healthy household balance sheets.

The HDB resale market also continued to moderate. Flash estimates indicate resale prices declined by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter in 2Q2026 following a slight 0.1% decline in 1Q2026, bringing first-half price growth to -0.4%, compared with a 2.5% increase over the same period in 2025. Rather than indicating market weakness, the slower price movement reflects improving supply conditions through continued Build-to-Order (BTO) launches, a growing number of flats reaching their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP), and expanding resale inventory.

The June 2026 BTO exercise introduced approximately 6,952 flats, including substantial supply in mature estates such as Bishan, Bukit Merah and Ang Mo Kio, providing buyers with more attractive alternatives to the resale market. Increased availability of shorter waiting-time flats has further eased demand pressures on resale housing.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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