SRI - Singapore Realtors Inc.

02 Jan 2025

4Q2024 Flash Estimates: Singapore’s Property Market at a Turning Point

Property Insight

The 4Q2024 URA and HDB Flash Estimates reveal a notable recovery in the private property market and a tempered growth in the HDB resale market. According to SRI Research, the private property price index grew by 2.3% in 4Q2024, rebounding from a 0.7% decline in the previous quarter. This resurgence is attributed to easing interest rates and a wave of new project launches, which boosted buyer confidence and increased transaction volumes.

Private property transactions saw a substantial quarter-on-quarter rise, with volume increasing by 25.0% to 6,715 units and transaction value surging 33.6% to $15.7 billion. The $1.5 million to $3.0 million price segment led the market, growing from 63.6% of sales in 2023 to 70.3% in 2024, reflecting buyers' preference for affordability and value. Overall, private property prices in 2024 increased moderately by 3.9%, down from the 6.8% growth recorded in 2023, signaling a stabilizing market influenced by Government Land Sales (GLS), inflationary pressures, and earlier cooling measures.

In the HDB resale market, prices grew at a slower pace of 2.5% in 4Q2024, compared to 2.7% in 3Q2024. Annual growth, however, reached 9.6%, nearly doubling the 4.9% increase in 2023. Cooling measures introduced in 3Q2024 have tempered million-dollar transactions, which declined by 13.9% quarter-on-quarter to 285 units in 4Q2024. Despite this, the overall number of such transactions in 2024 remains historically elevated, supported by demand for spacious executive flats and flats in mature estates.

Newer flats in mature estates dominated the million-dollar resale segment, accounting for 375 out of 382 transactions for flats with lease commencement dates from 2013 onwards. These properties are favoured for their accessibility, modern layouts, and longer leases, highlighting the importance of strategic urban planning in addressing buyer preferences.

In summary, the 4Q2024 estimates depict a recovering private property market and a resilient HDB resale segment, shaped by adaptive buyer sentiments and strategic interventions. Both markets are set for stable growth in 2025, underscored by a balance of robust demand, limited supply, and regulatory oversight.

Click here for the full report

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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Property Insight

Singapore Industrial Property Market 1H2026: Resilient Growth Continues

Singapore’s industrial property market remained resilient in the first half of 2026, with prices, transaction activity and rents continuing to rise despite a more uncertain global economic environment. According to JTC’s industrial property price index, prices increased by 1.8% in 1H2026, moderating from the 2.9% growth recorded in 1H2025. The continued expansion of Singapore’s manufacturing sector, supported by artificial intelligence-related demand across semiconductors, infocomms and consumer electronics, provided a supportive backdrop for the industrial market.

Strata industrial transaction activity also strengthened, with caveated sales increasing 4.3% year on year from 797 transactions in 1H2025 to 831 transactions in 1H2026. Multiple-user factories continued to dominate the market, accounting for 92.8% of strata industrial transactions.

Looking ahead, Singapore’s industrial property market is expected to remain resilient through the second half of 2026. Continued strength in electronics, semiconductors, precision engineering and other advanced manufacturing industries should underpin demand for modern industrial facilities. Growing adoption of AI technologies and investment in higher-value manufacturing activities are also expected to support demand for high-specification factories, logistics facilities and selected business parks.

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here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

Property Insight

NDR 2026 Housing Measures: Broadening Access Across the Housing Journey

The housing measures announced at National Day Rally 2026 represent a timely recalibration of Singapore’s housing framework, with higher income ceilings expanding access to subsidised housing and mortgage support across different stages of the housing journey. The monthly household income ceiling for eligible families will increase from S$14,000 to S$16,000, while the corresponding ceiling for singles will rise from S$7,000 to S$8,000. For applicable future Executive Condominium (EC) projects, the household income ceiling will increase from S$16,000 to S$18,000.

For ECs, the increase to S$18,000 broadens the potential buyer pool, particularly among dual-income households that have moved beyond the revised HDB ceiling but remain within EC eligibility. However, the market impact will be gradual because the new ceiling applies only to new EC units where the land sale tender closes on or after 24 August 2026.

Overall, the measures represent a wider housing life-cycle recalibration rather than a change focused solely on BTO eligibility. By updating income thresholds across multiple housing programmes, expanding EC accessibility and providing additional ballot chances for first-time families with children from the February 2027 sales exercise, the framework broadens housing options while allowing eligibility parameters to evolve alongside household incomes and circumstances.

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here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

Property Insight

July 2026 New Home Sales Surge as Major Project Launches Return

Singapore’s primary residential market rebounded strongly in July 2026, with developers selling 731 new private homes excluding Executive Condominiums (ECs), up sharply from 156 units in June. The recovery was driven by the return of fresh residential supply after June recorded no new private residential launches, highlighting the close relationship between launch activity and monthly developer sales.

A total of 889 units were launched across six projects during July. Lentor Gardens Residences and Dunearn House accounted for the bulk of new supply, launching 499 and 250 units respectively. Together, the two projects contributed 749 units, or approximately 83.3% of all units launched during the month. Their strong performance also accounted for 65.9% of all new private homes sold excluding ECs, demonstrating the significant role that major new launches continue to play in shaping monthly sales volumes.

Lentor Gardens Residences was July’s best-selling project, recording 270 transactions at a median price of $2,357 psf. The development’s performance suggests that buyer confidence in the Lentor precinct remains resilient despite it being the seventh private residential project introduced within the estate. As the neighbourhood matures, buyers are increasingly able to assess completed developments, operational amenities and the precinct’s overall liveability, providing greater certainty over its longer-term appeal. External market reporting also recorded 270 sales at Lentor Gardens Residences during its launch period.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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Singapore 237994

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