11 Jul 2024
The Luxury Property Market 1H2024 Review & Outlook
Property Insight

Resilient 1H2024 Growth in CCR Non-Landed Property Market

In the first half of 2024, the non-landed property market in the Core Central Region (CCR) showed resilient growth despite a slight moderation in the second quarter. Prices in the CCR adjusted by 0.2% in 2Q2024, following a 3.4% increase in 1Q2024. Overall, non-landed prices in the CCR rose by 3.2% during the first half of 2024, significantly outpacing the 0.8% increase seen in the first half of 2023. This growth was likely driven by an increase in transactions at the $10 million and above price point, highlighting the robustness and potential of the non-landed property sector in the CCR.

Top-Selling New Project Launches in CCR for 1H2024

The best-selling new project launches in the CCR for the first half of 2024 included:

• 19 Nassim: Sold 35 units at a median price of $3,334 per square foot (psf).

• Watten House: Sold 33 units at a median price of $3,246 psf, attributed to its location in a sought-after Good Class Bungalow neighborhood.

• Klimt Cairnhill: Sold 32 units at a median price of $3,402 psf.

• One Bernam: Sold 16 units at a median price of $2,690 psf.

• Enchanté: Sold 9 units at a median price of $2,821 psf.

The scarcity of new project launches within the CCR has fueled a healthy level of interest among buyers and investors.

Skywaters Residences Leads High-Value CCR Launches in 1H2024

High-value new launch condominiums, particularly those priced at $10 million and above, saw notable transactions in 1H2024. Key developments included:

• Skywaters Residences: Achieved a record price of $47.3 million ($6,100 psf) for a unit, setting a new benchmark for luxury living.

• 32 Gilstead: Transacted three units at prices around $14.5 million.

• Watten House: Continued strong performance with units sold around $11.8 to $12.2 million.

These transactions underscore the enduring appeal of premium properties to wealthy foreign investors, with Skywaters Residences capturing significant interest due to its exclusive residential experience and prime location.

Underlying Presence of High-Value Resale Condo Transactions in 1H2024

The resale condominium market in 1H2024 also saw significant transactions, particularly those exceeding the $10 million threshold. Notable transactions included:

• The Ritz-Carlton Residences Singapore, Cairnhill: Two units sold for $16.5 million each ($5,397 psf).

• St Regis Residences Singapore: Sold a unit for $14 million.

• Hilltops, The Marq On Paterson Hill, Ardmore Park, and 3 Orchard By-The-Park: All saw high-value transactions.

These sales highlight the continued demand for luxury resale properties in prime locations.

Modest Increase in Foreign Purchases of Non-Landed Properties in 2Q2024

Foreign purchases of non-landed properties increased modestly in 2Q2024, rising from 21 units in 1Q2024 to an estimated 45 units. This marks the highest number of units purchased by foreigners since 2Q2023. Despite higher Additional Buyer's Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates, foreign buyers continue to be significant players in the property market, reflecting the enduring appeal of the CCR segment.

Outlook

The outlook for the CCR market in the second half of 2024 remains cautiously optimistic. The positive performance in the first half, coupled with high-value transactions and gradual growth in foreign buyer interest, suggests a resilient market. Upcoming projects like One Sophia/The Collective at One Sophia are expected to attract significant interest due to their prime locations and excellent accessibility. Investors and buyers are encouraged to stay attentive to market trends and emerging opportunities, particularly in high-value segments. The CCR's premium properties, with their strategic locations and exclusive amenities, are likely to maintain their attractiveness to both local and international buyers.

Click here for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

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Property Insight
01 Oct 2024
Singapore Property Market Overview 3Q2024: Flash Estimates for HDB and Private Sectors

The 3Q2024 URA and HDB Flash Estimates highlight key trends in Singapore’s real estate market during the third quarter of 2024. The private residential property index recorded a moderation of -1.1% in 3Q2024, contrasting with a 0.9% increase in 2Q2024. For the first nine months of 2024, prices moderated by 1.1%, a stark contrast to the 3.9% growth in the same period in 2023. This moderation was influenced by several factors, including the Hungry Ghost Festival, September school holidays, and limited new launches. Additionally, fewer high-value transactions (especially those priced above $10 million) likely contributed to the slower price growth.

Despite these challenges, the new launch market remained resilient. New home sales in 3Q2024 are expected to reach 1,072 units, a 47.9% quarter-on-quarter growth. The bulk of this growth was driven by the Outside Central Region (OCR), where sales jumped by 65.0%. This strong performance reflects buyer preference for more affordable housing options in areas outside the city center. In contrast, the Core Central Region (CCR) saw a 33.3% decline in sales due to fewer launches.

As buyers anticipate interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve, market sentiment may improve. The reduction in borrowing costs could lead to a resurgence in demand, particularly for upcoming projects like Norwood Grand and Meyer Blue. These projects are strategically positioned to benefit from renewed market activity.

The HDB resale market continued to show robust growth. Flash estimates indicate a 2.5% rise in resale prices for 3Q2024, slightly higher than the 2.3% increase seen in the previous quarter. Over the first nine months of 2024, HDB resale prices have risen by 6.8%, compared to 3.8% during the same period in 2023. Larger flat types, particularly 4-room and 5-room units, and newer flats (with leases starting from 2013) have driven this growth. These newer flats saw price increases of 3.7% between 2Q2024 and 3Q2024, reflecting their continued popularity among buyers.

A significant rise in million-dollar HDB transactions was also noted, with approximately 331 such deals in 3Q2024, up from 236 in 2Q2024. However, the impact of the cooling measures introduced in August 2024, including the reduction of the Loan-to-Value limit for HDB loans, is not yet reflected in these figures. The full effects of these policies are expected to become evident in late 4Q2024 or beyond.

As the market approaches the final quarter of 2024, the outlook for both the private and HDB resale markets remains cautiously optimistic. While demand for larger and newer flats continues to support price growth, buyers are encouraged to exercise prudence, considering long-term affordability and the evolving market landscape

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Prepared By: 

Mohan Sandrasegeran 

Head of Research & Data Analytics  

Property Insight
20 Sep 2024
September 2024 GLS Tender Review: Tampines Street 94 & Media Circle Analysis

The September 2024 GLS (Government Land Sales) commentary outlines the tender results for two key sites: Tampines Street 94 and Media Circle.

Tampines Street 94

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This site, zoned for mixed-use residential and commercial development, attracted six bids. The top bid came from a joint venture between Hoi Hup Realty Pte Ltd and Sunway Developments Pte Ltd, offering $668.3 million (equivalent to $1,004 per square foot per plot ratio (psf ppr)). The second-highest bid by Sing Holdings Residential Pte. Ltd. was just 1.9% lower at $655.6 million ($985 psf ppr), highlighting competitive bidding despite a cautious market.

The keen interest in this site demonstrates continued demand for strategically located mixed-use parcels, offering both residential and commercial potential. The proximity to amenities and the Tampines West MRT station enhances its appeal. Recent mixed-use projects, like J’den, which saw over 80% of units sold at launch, indicate strong market demand. The upcoming Executive Condominium (EC) at Tampines Street 95 is expected to further increase foot traffic and commercial viability for the development, making it an attractive proposition for developers and investors alike.

The Tampines Street 94 development also benefits from its location within a residential area dense with HDB blocks, ensuring a ready customer base for its commercial offerings. Situated near educational institutions like Temasek Polytechnic, St. Hilda’s Secondary School, and others, the site is ideal for families. Given the market conditions, the expected launch price is projected to range between $2,200 to $2,300 psf, aligned with the Outside Central Region (OCR) median price of $2,107 psf as of Q2 2024. This site’s launch could be influenced by the earlier-launched Tampines Avenue 11 project, potentially setting price expectations for buyers.

Media Circle

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This site, located within the one-north Mediapolis precinct, was tendered for residential use (specifically for long-stay serviced apartments) with commercial space on the first storey. It attracted only one bid, submitted by Frasers Property in collaboration with Padawan MC Pte Ltd and Empire One North Property Pte Ltd, for $120.1 million ($461 psf ppr).

Frasers Property, known for its experience in serviced apartments, sees potential in the site's strategic location, close to media and technology job hubs within the vibrant Mediapolis area. This contrasts sharply with the lack of interest in the Upper Thomson Road (Parcel A) site, which also included a serviced apartment component. The one-north area's connectivity and appeal to expatriates and professionals looking for convenience and proximity to work explain the interest in Media Circle.

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Prepared By: 

Mohan Sandrasegeran 

Head of Research & Data Analytics  

Property Insight
16 Sep 2024
August 2024 Developer Sales: OCR Shines Despite Hungry Ghost Festival Dip

In August 2024, developers sold a total of 208 units, excluding Executive Condominiums (ECs), marking a significant month-on-month decline of 63.6% from July's 571 units. This drop in sales aligns with the Hungry Ghost Festival, a period traditionally associated with reduced home-buying activity due to cultural beliefs. The sales volume during this month was the lowest since February 2024, when only 153 units were sold during the Chinese New Year period. Year-on-year, new home sales in August 2024 reflected a 47.2% drop from the 394 units sold in August 2023.

Despite the overall decline, the Outside Central Region (OCR) remained a bright spot, contributing 59.1% of the total sales. Projects such as Hillock Green, Lentor Hills Residences, and Hillhaven were among the key contributors. The Rest of Central Region (RCR) accounted for 31.3% of sales, while the Core Central Region (CCR) made up 9.6%. The OCR's continued strong performance highlights the demand for more affordable housing in non-central locations, attracting a mix of first-time homeowners and upgraders.

Tembusu Grand, located in the RCR, led the sales in August with 30 units sold at a median price of $2,455 per square foot (psf). Its strong performance was supported by the upcoming launch of Emerald of Katong, which boosted the neighborhood's profile. Enhanced connectivity due to new Thomson-East Coast Line stations further improved the attractiveness of the area.

The luxury property market, despite the broader market moderation, demonstrated resilience. The most notable transaction in August was a $14.7 million sale at 32 Gilstead, which was also the highest transacted freehold condominium in the first eight months of 2024. This transaction underscored the continued demand for prime properties among high-net-worth individuals, even during typically quieter periods.

Looking ahead, the market is expected to likely rebound with the conclusion of the Hungry Ghost Festival and several new project launches. Developers are strategically timing these launches to capture demand, and upcoming projects like 8@BT, Norwood Grand, and Meyer Blue are poised to drive interest. Additionally, a potential Federal Reserve rate cut could further ease global interest rates, including those in Singapore, potentially boosting buyer sentiment and market activity.

In conclusion, while August 2024 saw a slowdown in developer sales due to seasonal factors, the OCR and luxury property segments remained resilient. Upcoming launches and favourable economic conditions are expected to bolster the market in the coming months.

Click

here

for the full report  

Prepared By: 

Mohan Sandrasegeran 

Head of Research & Data Analytics