02 Jul 2024
2Q2024 URA/HDB Flash Estimates
Property Insight

URA Property Price Index:

The private residential index for 2Q2024 increased by 1.1%, a slight moderation from the 1.4% rise in 1Q2024. This growth is primarily driven by sustained demand for high-end properties and an increase in private resale transactions, particularly from private home upgraders.

Notable Transactions:

In 2Q2024, there were at least 11 notable non-landed private property transactions exceeding $10 million, compared to six such transactions in 1Q2024. This trend underscores sustained interest in luxury units among high-net-worth buyers. Prominent transactions included Skywaters Residences ($47.3 million), 32 Gilstead, St Regis Residences Singapore, Reflections At Keppel Bay, The Marq On Paterson Hill, 3 Orchard By-The-Park, and Ardmore Park.

The high price points reflect the premium locations and limited availability of such units. Despite the moderation in Core Central Region (CCR) prices, the overall price index remains driven by these high-value transactions.

Private Resale Transactions:

Private resale transactions from buyers with a private home address increased from 1,626 units in 4Q2023 to an estimated 1,788 units in 2Q2024. 

HDB Resale Price Index:

Flash estimates from HDB indicate a 2.1% increase in resale prices in 2Q2024, up from the 1.8% rise in 1Q2024.

Average HDB Resale Prices:

• Geylang: Increased from $531.1K in 1Q2024 to $600.6K in 2Q2024 (13.1% rise)

• Marine Parade: Increased from $541.9K in 1Q2024 to $604.0K in 2Q2024 (11.5% rise)

• Central Area: Increased from $643.9K in 1Q2024 to $703.7K in 2Q2024 (9.3% rise)

• Toa Payoh: Increased from $614.6K in 1Q2024 to $658.5K in 2Q2024 (7.1% rise)

• Pasir Ris: Increased from $677.0K in 1Q2024 to $714.0K in 2Q2024 (5.5% rise)

Million-Dollar HDB Resale Transactions:

 In 2Q2024, there were 236 HDB resale transactions exceeding the million-dollar mark, up from 183 in 1Q2024. This represents a 29.0% quarter-over-quarter growth, marking the highest number of million-dollar transactions in a single quarter. The surge can be attributed to the demand for spacious accommodations and newer flats, with 96 out of 236 transactions for 5-room flats. The Kallang/Whampoa estate had the highest number of such transactions, driven by newer flats reaching their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP).

HDB Resale Volume:

The HDB resale volume marginally increased, with 7,208 resale flats transacted in 2Q2024, compared to 7,068 in 1Q2024, representing a 2.0% quarter-on-quarter growth. Despite factors such as school holidays and the final Build-To-Order (BTO) launch before a new classification system, the resale market demonstrated resilience.

Outlook:

The second half of 2024 is anticipated to attract significant interest from buyers and investors with several new launch developments in the pipeline, such as Sora, The Chuan Park, Union Square Residences, Aurea, and Norwood Grand. These projects offer diverse living options catering to various preferences and needs, enhancing the attractiveness of the new launch segment.

With fewer flats projected to reach MOP in 2024 compared to 2023, the HDB resale market is expected to remain robust, driven by the reduced availability of newer flats. The extended gap between BTO and Sale of Balance Flats (SBF) exercises is likely to prompt potential homebuyers to explore resale market options.

Click here for the full report 

Prepared By: 

Mohan Sandrasegeran 

Head of Research & Data Analytics  

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1H2026 GLS Programme To Deliver a Calibrated and Steady Supply Pipeline

The 1H2026 Government Land Sales programme will introduce 4575 private housing units on the confirmed list, which is 3.2% lower than the 4725 units in 2H2025 and 9.0% below the 5030 units in 1H2025. Despite this moderation, the overall pipeline remains healthy when including the reserve list, resulting in a total of 9185 units, broadly comparable with earlier programmes. The calibrated adjustment reflects the authorities’ intention to pace out land supply following the stronger injections seen from 2024 to 2025, which had helped stabilise market conditions and ease previous tight inventory.

The confirmed list features nine sites across multiple regions. Bayshore Drive is the largest site, capped at 1280 units, positioning it as a future mega development anchoring the transformation of the Bayshore precinct. New Upper Changi Road contributes about 1040 units, reinforcing the Eastern Corridor’s residential pipeline. At the other end of the spectrum, Lorong Puntong is the smallest site with about 140 units, likely taking shape as an exclusive low density project benefiting from strong connectivity via the Thomson East Coast Line.

Two Executive Condominium (EC) sites are included — Sembawang Drive and Canberra Drive — providing a combined supply of about 635 units. ECs have demonstrated strong performance, with 1550 new EC units sold in the first nine months of 2025, surpassing the full year figure of 1227 units in 2024. ECs continue to show investment resilience, supported by their hybrid nature and strong resale outcomes.

Overall, the 1H2026 GLS programme presents a balanced and well timed pipeline across city fringe, suburban, and transformation areas. The moderated confirmed list supply, paired with a still robust total pipeline, supports sustainable market conditions while allowing earlier GLS injections to be absorbed progressively.

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Prepared By:

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Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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28 Nov 2025
Positive EC Market Momentum Builds Confidence Ahead of Coastal Cabana Launch

The Executive Condominium market continued to show firm momentum in the first 10 months of 2025, reinforcing its reputation as one of the most resilient and value driven residential segments in Singapore. SRI Research’s analysis of 67 EC developments recorded 1,625 resale transactions during this period, and more than 97 percent of caveated resales achieved positive gains. This high success rate reflects the EC model’s strength as a pathway for long term capital appreciation, particularly for HDB upgraders seeking private housing at a more accessible entry point. 

Both recently completed and older ECs contributed to profitable outcomes, although newer projects made up the larger share of gains. Around 69.1 percent of profitable transactions came from ECs completed within the last 10 years, signalling sustained demand for developments with modern facilities and longer remaining leases. 

Buyer profiles also highlight the EC market’s broadening reach. Private address buyers made up 53.4 percent of profitable resale transactions, showing increased participation from owners already in the private segment who seek larger formats at comparatively attractive price points. At the same time, 46.6 percent of transactions involved HDB address buyers, indicating that ECs remain a key stepping stone for upgraders entering the private housing market. 

Land bid patterns further reinforce the affordability edge. EC land bids averaged $748 psf ppr in the first ten months of 2025, while OCR private residential land bids averaged $1,114 psf ppr, creating a 49 percent gap. Despite gradually rising EC land prices, the cost structure remains favourable enough for developers to price EC launches below the broader mass market. 

Looking ahead, the upcoming Coastal Cabana EC in Pasir Ris is set to attract considerable interest. With 748 units, lifestyle focused design, strong connectivity through Pasir Ris MRT interchange on the Cross Island Line, and proximity to schools and recreation, the development offers a rare coastal living experience within the EC segment. Supply in the East remains limited, further supporting its outlook. 

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Prepared By:

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Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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27 Nov 2025
Allgreen Tops Bedok Rise GLS with Competitive Land Bid

The Bedok Rise Government Land Sales tender drew strong interest from developers, marking one of the most competitive suburban land tenders in recent years. A total of 10 bidders participated, exceeding the 8 bidders seen at the nearby Bayshore Road site and matching the strongest participation levels last recorded at Slim Barracks Rise in 2021 . This reflects the continued appeal of residential plots in the Outside Central Region, a segment that remains the anchor of new home sales across the island.

Bellis Residential Pte Ltd, linked to Allgreen Properties, submitted the top bid at $464.8 million dollars, translating to $1,330 dollars psf ppr. The gap with the second placed bid by Hoi Hup Realty was very narrow at just 0.4 percent, highlighting the close competition among developers. The spread from the highest to the lowest bid reached 18.6 percent, showing a wide range of price expectations for this site .

Following the recent launch of Promenade Peak in the Rest of Central Region, Allgreen appears to be extending its footprint into the suburban market through this acquisition. The Bedok Rise site provides an opportunity to tap into resilient upgrader demand in a location with an established track record of strong sales. The success of Seneca Residence next door reinforces that confidence. Seneca, launched on the earlier Tanah Merah Kechil Link GLS site, achieved a full sellout and had originally attracted 15 bidders for its land tender, a sign of strong interest in this precinct .

The Bedok Rise plot is expected to yield around 380 units and is well supported by transport and amenity offerings. Its location beside Tanah Merah MRT station offers immediate connectivity to the East West Line. Nearby expressways such as the PIE and ECP enhance accessibility to the rest of Singapore. Schools in the area, including Bedok Green Primary School and Bedok View Secondary School, add to its attractiveness for families. Residents will also enjoy proximity to markets, sports facilities, and neighbourhood parks .

Click

here

for the full report 

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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