02 Jul 2024
2Q2024 URA/HDB Flash Estimates
Property Insight

URA Property Price Index:

The private residential index for 2Q2024 increased by 1.1%, a slight moderation from the 1.4% rise in 1Q2024. This growth is primarily driven by sustained demand for high-end properties and an increase in private resale transactions, particularly from private home upgraders.

Notable Transactions:

In 2Q2024, there were at least 11 notable non-landed private property transactions exceeding $10 million, compared to six such transactions in 1Q2024. This trend underscores sustained interest in luxury units among high-net-worth buyers. Prominent transactions included Skywaters Residences ($47.3 million), 32 Gilstead, St Regis Residences Singapore, Reflections At Keppel Bay, The Marq On Paterson Hill, 3 Orchard By-The-Park, and Ardmore Park.

The high price points reflect the premium locations and limited availability of such units. Despite the moderation in Core Central Region (CCR) prices, the overall price index remains driven by these high-value transactions.

Private Resale Transactions:

Private resale transactions from buyers with a private home address increased from 1,626 units in 4Q2023 to an estimated 1,788 units in 2Q2024. 

HDB Resale Price Index:

Flash estimates from HDB indicate a 2.1% increase in resale prices in 2Q2024, up from the 1.8% rise in 1Q2024.

Average HDB Resale Prices:

• Geylang: Increased from $531.1K in 1Q2024 to $600.6K in 2Q2024 (13.1% rise)

• Marine Parade: Increased from $541.9K in 1Q2024 to $604.0K in 2Q2024 (11.5% rise)

• Central Area: Increased from $643.9K in 1Q2024 to $703.7K in 2Q2024 (9.3% rise)

• Toa Payoh: Increased from $614.6K in 1Q2024 to $658.5K in 2Q2024 (7.1% rise)

• Pasir Ris: Increased from $677.0K in 1Q2024 to $714.0K in 2Q2024 (5.5% rise)

Million-Dollar HDB Resale Transactions:

 In 2Q2024, there were 236 HDB resale transactions exceeding the million-dollar mark, up from 183 in 1Q2024. This represents a 29.0% quarter-over-quarter growth, marking the highest number of million-dollar transactions in a single quarter. The surge can be attributed to the demand for spacious accommodations and newer flats, with 96 out of 236 transactions for 5-room flats. The Kallang/Whampoa estate had the highest number of such transactions, driven by newer flats reaching their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP).

HDB Resale Volume:

The HDB resale volume marginally increased, with 7,208 resale flats transacted in 2Q2024, compared to 7,068 in 1Q2024, representing a 2.0% quarter-on-quarter growth. Despite factors such as school holidays and the final Build-To-Order (BTO) launch before a new classification system, the resale market demonstrated resilience.

Outlook:

The second half of 2024 is anticipated to attract significant interest from buyers and investors with several new launch developments in the pipeline, such as Sora, The Chuan Park, Union Square Residences, Aurea, and Norwood Grand. These projects offer diverse living options catering to various preferences and needs, enhancing the attractiveness of the new launch segment.

With fewer flats projected to reach MOP in 2024 compared to 2023, the HDB resale market is expected to remain robust, driven by the reduced availability of newer flats. The extended gap between BTO and Sale of Balance Flats (SBF) exercises is likely to prompt potential homebuyers to explore resale market options.

Click here for the full report 

Prepared By: 

Mohan Sandrasegeran 

Head of Research & Data Analytics  

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The relatively smaller scale of the Orchard Boulevard GLS parcel, which is expected to yield approximately 110 residential units, could have contributed to developer participation. Compared with the neighbouring UpperHouse development, which comprises 301 units, the latest site offers a more manageable development scale, potentially translating into a lower overall capital commitment and reduced inventory exposure.

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Singapore's HDB resale market recorded stronger transaction activity in 3Q2026, with 7,645 resale flats changing hands, representing a 19.5% increase from the 6,396 transactions in the preceding quarter. This marked the highest quarterly resale transaction volume since 3Q2024, when 8,142 transactions were registered. On a yearly basis, resale transactions increased by approximately 5.9%.

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One contributing factor could be the absence of a Build To Order (BTO) sales exercise during the quarter, encouraging some prospective buyers to explore resale options. The growing pipeline of flats reaching their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) is also expected to progressively expand resale housing availability, providing buyers with greater choice across locations, flat types and price points.

HDB resale prices moderated by 0.1% quarter on quarter in 3Q2026, marking the third consecutive quarter of price adjustments.

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Singapore's private residential market continued to demonstrate resilience in 3Q2026, with stronger price growth and relatively stable resale activity, despite a more measured pace of new home sales. The moderation in primary market transactions was largely attributable to a quieter new launch calendar rather than a fundamental weakening in underlying buyer demand.

Developers sold 1,183 new private residential units (excluding executive condominiums) in 3Q2026, compared to 2,141 units in the preceding quarter.

A total of 1,140 new private residential units were launched during the quarter, representing a 36.1% decline from 1,783 units in 2Q2026. This marked the lowest quarterly launch volume since 2Q2024. The quieter launch environment was influenced by the Hungry Ghost Festival and September school holidays, with some prospective buyers potentially deferring purchasing decisions in anticipation of upcoming developments.

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg