25 Jun 2024
GLS Commentary 2H2024 GLS Programme
Property Insight

Moderation in GLS Supply

The second half of 2024 sees a moderation in the Government Land Sales (GLS) programme after seven consecutive increases since 1H2021. The number of residential units on the confirmed list has been adjusted from 5,450 units in the first half of 2024 to 5,050 units in the second half, marking a 7.3% reduction. This adjustment reflects a strategic response to current market conditions, aiming to balance supply with demand amidst three consecutive quarters of increasing uncompleted unsold private residential units, which grew from 16,929 units in Q4 2023 to 19,936 units in Q1 2024.

Strategic Adjustments

The authorities' decision to moderate the GLS supply is influenced by recent property market cooling measures and a cautious sentiment among developers. This measured approach ensures that the supply of private residential units aligns with the housing requirements of the population without oversaturating the market. Additionally, the reserve list supply has been reduced by 10.7%, from 3,460 units in 1H2024 to 3,090 units in 2H2024. The combined supply from both the confirmed and reserve lists totals 8,140 units, an 8.6% decrease.

Notable Confirmed GLS Sites

Key GLS sites on the confirmed list include:

Chencharu Close: Set in Yishun, this site will contribute to the development of 10,000 new homes by 2040, with at least 80% for public housing. It is expected to be a mixed-use integrated development, enhancing connectivity and providing a comprehensive living environment.

Media Circle (Parcels A and B): Located within the One-north precinct, known for its focus on knowledge-intensive sectors, these sites aim to support the local workforce by providing housing options close to workplaces. This aligns with the area’s role in fostering innovation and economic growth.

Bayshore Road: With the opening of the Bayshore MRT station, this site has transitioned from the reserve list to the confirmed list. It is part of a broader transformation of the Bayshore area, including new Build-To-Order (BTO) flats and enhanced amenities, making it a highly attractive location.

Reserve List Sites

A significant site on the reserve list is an Executive Condominium (EC) at Woodlands Drive 17. This marks the first EC site in Woodlands since the Northwave project in 2016, highlighting a key development for the area.

Market Outlook

The strategic moderation of the GLS supply aligns with current market dynamics, ensuring a balanced supply that meets demand. The real estate market in Singapore is closely tied to various factors, including economic conditions, market fluctuations, and regulatory changes. The authorities' measured approach aims to provide a stable and sustainable housing market, supporting economic stability and growth.

Overall, the 2H2024 GLS Programme reflects a cautious yet strategic response to evolving market conditions, ensuring that the supply of residential units aligns with demand while supporting the ongoing development of key areas in Singapore. This approach underscores the importance of adapting to market trends and maintaining a balanced real estate market.

 Click here for the full report 

Prepared By: 

Mohan Sandrasegeran 

Head of Research & Data Analytics  

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Singapore Private Residential Market 1Q2026 Performance and Outlook

Singapore’s private residential market in 1Q2026 reflects a phase of steady recalibration, where headline moderation masks underlying resilience. While new private home sales excluding Executive Condominiums declined from 2,940 units in 4Q2025 to 2,013 units in 1Q2026, this does not fully capture market activity. When EC transactions are included, total new home sales increased to 3,181 units, representing a 5.3% quarter on quarter rise. This highlights how the composition of launches, particularly the inclusion of EC projects such as Coastal Cabana and Rivelle Tampines, played a significant role in shaping overall figures rather than indicating a weakening in demand.

The EC segment emerged as a key driver of activity during the quarter, with 1,168 units sold, marking the highest quarterly performance since 3Q2017. This reflects sustained demand from owner occupiers and HDB upgraders, particularly in the Outside Central Region. The continued ramp up in EC supply through the Government Land Sales programme appears well aligned with this demand, helping to provide a steady pipeline of more accessible housing options while supporting overall market stability.

In the resale market, transaction volumes moderated to 3,225 units in 1Q2026, continuing a gradual easing trend from the peak of 3,881 units in 3Q2025. Despite this moderation, resale activity remains healthy and broadly in line with historical norms. Demand continues to be supported by larger, well established developments, with the top selling projects led by Treasure at Tampines, Parc Esta and Stirling Residences. Notably, transaction volumes across the top developments were closely clustered, suggesting that demand is broad based rather than concentrated within a narrow segment. This points to a resale market that remains active and supported by genuine housing needs.

Looking ahead, the market is expected to remain supported by a steady pipeline of new launches, including projects such as Vela Bay, Tengah Garden Residences and Hudson Place Residences. These developments are likely to sustain transaction activity, particularly when supported by strong location attributes and competitive pricing. At the same time, macroeconomic conditions, including inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainties, may encourage a more measured pace of decision making among both developers and buyers.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

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Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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27 Apr 2026
HDB Resale Market Update 1Q2026: Balanced Growth

The HDB resale market in 1Q2026 reflects a continued transition towards a more balanced and sustainable phase, with both transaction activity and price movements pointing to a gradual normalisation of market conditions. Resale volumes rebounded to 6,285 units in the quarter, representing a 19.6% increase from 4Q2025. This recovery aligns with a recurring seasonal pattern, where activity typically moderates in the fourth quarter before picking up in the first quarter as deferred demand returns to the market. 

Price movements in 1Q2026 further reinforce this trend. The HDB Resale Price Index registered a slight moderation of 0.1% quarter on quarter, marking the first instance of easing since 2019. While modest in magnitude, this shift is directionally significant and reflects a continuation of the gradual slowdown in price growth observed throughout 2025. Rather than signalling a weakening market, this development points towards a stabilisation of prices following a sustained period of strong growth, supported by the cumulative impact of earlier supply side measures. 

Demand continues to remain broad based across towns and flat types, underpinned by factors such as affordability, availability and location attributes. Areas with a larger supply of flats and improving connectivity continue to anchor transaction volumes, while buyer interest in well located units remains firm. This is evident in the increase in million dollar transactions, which rose to 412 units in 1Q2026. The rise reflects not only the overall recovery in transaction volumes, but also sustained demand for larger and better located flats, particularly in mature estates with strong amenities and accessibility. 

Looking ahead, supply dynamics are expected to play an increasingly important role in shaping market conditions. The continued ramp up in BTO supply, the reintroduction of multiple Sale of Balance Flats exercises, and the expanding pool of MOP flats will enhance resale supply depth and provide buyers with greater choice. This is likely to reduce competition intensity for limited stock and support a more stable and sustainable pace of price formation.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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15 Apr 2026
Developer Sales Jump to 1,937 Units in March 2026 on Surge in New Launches

Developer sales staged a strong recovery in March 2026, with a total of 1,937 units sold including Executive Condominiums (ECs), a significant increase from the 266 units transacted in February. This marks the first time this year that monthly sales have crossed the 1,000-unit threshold, signalling a meaningful pickup in primary market activity following the seasonal lull during the Chinese New Year period.

The rebound in sales was largely driven by a corresponding increase in new project launches. Developers released 1,615 units in March, a substantial rise from the limited supply seen in February. Key projects such as Pinery Residences, Rivelle Tampines and River Modern were major contributors, collectively accounting for about 76.9% of total transactions. This highlights a clear trend in the current market environment where buyer demand remains intact, but is closely tied to the timing, quality and positioning of new launches.

The strong performance of these projects reflects how well calibrated offerings continue to resonate with buyers. In particular, Pinery Residences and Rivelle Tampines each recorded over 500 units sold, underscoring the continued strength of demand in the Outside Central Region (OCR), where pricing remains relatively accessible and is supported by first time buyers and upgraders. At the same time, River Modern’s robust take up, with 416 units sold at a median price of about $3,220 psf, points to sustained interest within the Core Central Region (CCR). 

Looking ahead, the momentum observed in March is expected to carry into the coming months, supported by a pipeline of upcoming launches such as Vela Bay and Tengah Garden Residences. As more projects enter the market across both established and emerging precincts, transaction volumes are likely to remain supported by genuine demand, albeit at a more calibrated pace.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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