25 Jun 2024
GLS Commentary 2H2024 GLS Programme
Property Insight

Moderation in GLS Supply

The second half of 2024 sees a moderation in the Government Land Sales (GLS) programme after seven consecutive increases since 1H2021. The number of residential units on the confirmed list has been adjusted from 5,450 units in the first half of 2024 to 5,050 units in the second half, marking a 7.3% reduction. This adjustment reflects a strategic response to current market conditions, aiming to balance supply with demand amidst three consecutive quarters of increasing uncompleted unsold private residential units, which grew from 16,929 units in Q4 2023 to 19,936 units in Q1 2024.

Strategic Adjustments

The authorities' decision to moderate the GLS supply is influenced by recent property market cooling measures and a cautious sentiment among developers. This measured approach ensures that the supply of private residential units aligns with the housing requirements of the population without oversaturating the market. Additionally, the reserve list supply has been reduced by 10.7%, from 3,460 units in 1H2024 to 3,090 units in 2H2024. The combined supply from both the confirmed and reserve lists totals 8,140 units, an 8.6% decrease.

Notable Confirmed GLS Sites

Key GLS sites on the confirmed list include:

Chencharu Close: Set in Yishun, this site will contribute to the development of 10,000 new homes by 2040, with at least 80% for public housing. It is expected to be a mixed-use integrated development, enhancing connectivity and providing a comprehensive living environment.

Media Circle (Parcels A and B): Located within the One-north precinct, known for its focus on knowledge-intensive sectors, these sites aim to support the local workforce by providing housing options close to workplaces. This aligns with the area’s role in fostering innovation and economic growth.

Bayshore Road: With the opening of the Bayshore MRT station, this site has transitioned from the reserve list to the confirmed list. It is part of a broader transformation of the Bayshore area, including new Build-To-Order (BTO) flats and enhanced amenities, making it a highly attractive location.

Reserve List Sites

A significant site on the reserve list is an Executive Condominium (EC) at Woodlands Drive 17. This marks the first EC site in Woodlands since the Northwave project in 2016, highlighting a key development for the area.

Market Outlook

The strategic moderation of the GLS supply aligns with current market dynamics, ensuring a balanced supply that meets demand. The real estate market in Singapore is closely tied to various factors, including economic conditions, market fluctuations, and regulatory changes. The authorities' measured approach aims to provide a stable and sustainable housing market, supporting economic stability and growth.

Overall, the 2H2024 GLS Programme reflects a cautious yet strategic response to evolving market conditions, ensuring that the supply of residential units aligns with demand while supporting the ongoing development of key areas in Singapore. This approach underscores the importance of adapting to market trends and maintaining a balanced real estate market.

 Click here for the full report 

Prepared By: 

Mohan Sandrasegeran 

Head of Research & Data Analytics  

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The stronger activity suggests that underlying demand for HDB resale flats remains relatively healthy despite a more measured pricing environment.

One contributing factor could be the absence of a Build To Order (BTO) sales exercise during the quarter, encouraging some prospective buyers to explore resale options. The growing pipeline of flats reaching their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) is also expected to progressively expand resale housing availability, providing buyers with greater choice across locations, flat types and price points.

HDB resale prices moderated by 0.1% quarter on quarter in 3Q2026, marking the third consecutive quarter of price adjustments.

Cumulatively, resale prices declined by 0.5% over the first nine months of 2026, compared with a 2.9% increase over the corresponding period in 2025. This represented the weakest first nine month performance since 2018.

The moderation suggests that the resale market is gradually transitioning towards a more balanced environment following several years of sustained price appreciation.

Importantly, stronger transaction activity alongside moderating prices indicates that buyer interest remains relatively healthy, supported by improving housing availability and more measured price expectations.

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Private Property Market Remains Resilient in 3Q2026 as Prices Rise 1.4%

Singapore's private residential market continued to demonstrate resilience in 3Q2026, with stronger price growth and relatively stable resale activity, despite a more measured pace of new home sales. The moderation in primary market transactions was largely attributable to a quieter new launch calendar rather than a fundamental weakening in underlying buyer demand.

Developers sold 1,183 new private residential units (excluding executive condominiums) in 3Q2026, compared to 2,141 units in the preceding quarter.

A total of 1,140 new private residential units were launched during the quarter, representing a 36.1% decline from 1,783 units in 2Q2026. This marked the lowest quarterly launch volume since 2Q2024. The quieter launch environment was influenced by the Hungry Ghost Festival and September school holidays, with some prospective buyers potentially deferring purchasing decisions in anticipation of upcoming developments.

Despite fewer launches, newly introduced projects continued to attract buyer interest. Lentor Gardens Residences emerged as the bestselling development with 304 transactions, followed by Dunearn House with 237 units. Together with Amberwood at Holland, these three projects accounted for approximately 47.8% of quarterly new home sales.

The private residential resale market recorded 3,801 transactions in 3Q2026, marginally below the 3,813 transactions in 2Q2026. The Outside Central Region (OCR) remained the largest contributor, accounting for approximately 52.4% of resale transactions. Both the OCR and Rest of Central Region (RCR) registered marginal increases in transaction volumes, collectively representing 82.2% of total resale activity.

This reflects continued demand for resale properties, particularly among owner occupiers, HDB upgraders and households seeking to right size their housing needs.

Private residential prices increased by 1.4% quarter on quarter in 3Q2026, compared to 0.5% in the preceding quarter, marking the strongest quarterly increase recorded so far in 2026. Cumulatively, prices increased by 2.8% over the first nine months of 2026, marginally exceeding the 2.7% growth recorded during the corresponding period in 2025.

Notably, homes priced between S$2 million and below S$5 million accounted for 68.2% of new private home transactions, compared to 49.2% in 2Q2026. This shift reflects the composition of available housing options and continued demand for properties offering desirable locations, sizes and overall value.

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

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Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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Singapore's new private residential market recorded a recovery in September 2026, with developers selling 296 units excluding Executive Condominiums (ECs), representing a 93.5% increase from the 153 units sold in August. Sales were also 16.1% higher than the 255 units recorded in September 2025.

The improvement followed a relatively quiet August, when market activity was affected by the absence of major new launches and the Hungry Ghost Festival. Despite limited fresh project inventory in September, transactions improved across all three market segments, reflecting continued buyer interest.

The Rest of Central Region (RCR) accounted for the largest share of developer sales, with 131 units sold, representing 44.3% of the total. The Outside Central Region (OCR) followed closely with 125 units, or 42.2%, while the Core Central Region (CCR) contributed 40 units, equivalent to 13.5%.

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Terra Hill emerged as September's bestselling development, recording 32 transactions at a median price of $2,209 psf. This was followed by The Sen with 25 units sold at $2,386 psf.

Newly launched Amberwood at Holland recorded 24 sales at a median price of $3,021 psf, despite only a portion of its units being released during its initial launch.

Other developments, including Lentor Gardens Residences and Dunearn House, continued to register transactions following their July launches, demonstrating that buyer interest extended beyond initial launch weekends.

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Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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