25 Jun 2024
GLS Commentary 2H2024 GLS Programme
Property Insight

Moderation in GLS Supply

The second half of 2024 sees a moderation in the Government Land Sales (GLS) programme after seven consecutive increases since 1H2021. The number of residential units on the confirmed list has been adjusted from 5,450 units in the first half of 2024 to 5,050 units in the second half, marking a 7.3% reduction. This adjustment reflects a strategic response to current market conditions, aiming to balance supply with demand amidst three consecutive quarters of increasing uncompleted unsold private residential units, which grew from 16,929 units in Q4 2023 to 19,936 units in Q1 2024.

Strategic Adjustments

The authorities' decision to moderate the GLS supply is influenced by recent property market cooling measures and a cautious sentiment among developers. This measured approach ensures that the supply of private residential units aligns with the housing requirements of the population without oversaturating the market. Additionally, the reserve list supply has been reduced by 10.7%, from 3,460 units in 1H2024 to 3,090 units in 2H2024. The combined supply from both the confirmed and reserve lists totals 8,140 units, an 8.6% decrease.

Notable Confirmed GLS Sites

Key GLS sites on the confirmed list include:

Chencharu Close: Set in Yishun, this site will contribute to the development of 10,000 new homes by 2040, with at least 80% for public housing. It is expected to be a mixed-use integrated development, enhancing connectivity and providing a comprehensive living environment.

Media Circle (Parcels A and B): Located within the One-north precinct, known for its focus on knowledge-intensive sectors, these sites aim to support the local workforce by providing housing options close to workplaces. This aligns with the area’s role in fostering innovation and economic growth.

Bayshore Road: With the opening of the Bayshore MRT station, this site has transitioned from the reserve list to the confirmed list. It is part of a broader transformation of the Bayshore area, including new Build-To-Order (BTO) flats and enhanced amenities, making it a highly attractive location.

Reserve List Sites

A significant site on the reserve list is an Executive Condominium (EC) at Woodlands Drive 17. This marks the first EC site in Woodlands since the Northwave project in 2016, highlighting a key development for the area.

Market Outlook

The strategic moderation of the GLS supply aligns with current market dynamics, ensuring a balanced supply that meets demand. The real estate market in Singapore is closely tied to various factors, including economic conditions, market fluctuations, and regulatory changes. The authorities' measured approach aims to provide a stable and sustainable housing market, supporting economic stability and growth.

Overall, the 2H2024 GLS Programme reflects a cautious yet strategic response to evolving market conditions, ensuring that the supply of residential units aligns with demand while supporting the ongoing development of key areas in Singapore. This approach underscores the importance of adapting to market trends and maintaining a balanced real estate market.

 Click here for the full report 

Prepared By: 

Mohan Sandrasegeran 

Head of Research & Data Analytics  

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The new flat supply landscape in 2025 played a significant role in shaping buyer behaviour. BTO launches rose slightly year on year, while Sale of Balance Flats supply expanded sharply to 10,252 units due to two SBF exercises conducted within the year. Standard flats made up the bulk of the BTO supply at 50.6 percent, underscoring HDB’s continued focus on broad accessibility. Prime and Plus flats, which accounted for 36.5 percent and 12.9 percent respectively, continued to attract households drawn to central locations and long term value potential, even as clawback rates were progressively refined. 

Demand fundamentals remain resilient as household formation stays steady and policy enhancements support right sizing among seniors. Findings from HDB’s latest Sample Household Survey also show more young families living near parents, boosting demand in established towns. Taken together, 2026 is expected to be a year of healthier balance, steady performance, and moderated price growth anchored by a significantly larger supply pipeline and stable demographic needs.

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02 Dec 2025
1H2026 GLS Programme To Deliver a Calibrated and Steady Supply Pipeline

The 1H2026 Government Land Sales programme will introduce 4575 private housing units on the confirmed list, which is 3.2% lower than the 4725 units in 2H2025 and 9.0% below the 5030 units in 1H2025. Despite this moderation, the overall pipeline remains healthy when including the reserve list, resulting in a total of 9185 units, broadly comparable with earlier programmes. The calibrated adjustment reflects the authorities’ intention to pace out land supply following the stronger injections seen from 2024 to 2025, which had helped stabilise market conditions and ease previous tight inventory.

The confirmed list features nine sites across multiple regions. Bayshore Drive is the largest site, capped at 1280 units, positioning it as a future mega development anchoring the transformation of the Bayshore precinct. New Upper Changi Road contributes about 1040 units, reinforcing the Eastern Corridor’s residential pipeline. At the other end of the spectrum, Lorong Puntong is the smallest site with about 140 units, likely taking shape as an exclusive low density project benefiting from strong connectivity via the Thomson East Coast Line.

Two Executive Condominium (EC) sites are included — Sembawang Drive and Canberra Drive — providing a combined supply of about 635 units. ECs have demonstrated strong performance, with 1550 new EC units sold in the first nine months of 2025, surpassing the full year figure of 1227 units in 2024. ECs continue to show investment resilience, supported by their hybrid nature and strong resale outcomes.

Overall, the 1H2026 GLS programme presents a balanced and well timed pipeline across city fringe, suburban, and transformation areas. The moderated confirmed list supply, paired with a still robust total pipeline, supports sustainable market conditions while allowing earlier GLS injections to be absorbed progressively.

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Prepared By:

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Positive EC Market Momentum Builds Confidence Ahead of Coastal Cabana Launch

The Executive Condominium market continued to show firm momentum in the first 10 months of 2025, reinforcing its reputation as one of the most resilient and value driven residential segments in Singapore. SRI Research’s analysis of 67 EC developments recorded 1,625 resale transactions during this period, and more than 97 percent of caveated resales achieved positive gains. This high success rate reflects the EC model’s strength as a pathway for long term capital appreciation, particularly for HDB upgraders seeking private housing at a more accessible entry point. 

Both recently completed and older ECs contributed to profitable outcomes, although newer projects made up the larger share of gains. Around 69.1 percent of profitable transactions came from ECs completed within the last 10 years, signalling sustained demand for developments with modern facilities and longer remaining leases. 

Buyer profiles also highlight the EC market’s broadening reach. Private address buyers made up 53.4 percent of profitable resale transactions, showing increased participation from owners already in the private segment who seek larger formats at comparatively attractive price points. At the same time, 46.6 percent of transactions involved HDB address buyers, indicating that ECs remain a key stepping stone for upgraders entering the private housing market. 

Land bid patterns further reinforce the affordability edge. EC land bids averaged $748 psf ppr in the first ten months of 2025, while OCR private residential land bids averaged $1,114 psf ppr, creating a 49 percent gap. Despite gradually rising EC land prices, the cost structure remains favourable enough for developers to price EC launches below the broader mass market. 

Looking ahead, the upcoming Coastal Cabana EC in Pasir Ris is set to attract considerable interest. With 748 units, lifestyle focused design, strong connectivity through Pasir Ris MRT interchange on the Cross Island Line, and proximity to schools and recreation, the development offers a rare coastal living experience within the EC segment. Supply in the East remains limited, further supporting its outlook. 

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here

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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