25 Jun 2024
GLS Commentary 2H2024 GLS Programme
Property Insight

Moderation in GLS Supply

The second half of 2024 sees a moderation in the Government Land Sales (GLS) programme after seven consecutive increases since 1H2021. The number of residential units on the confirmed list has been adjusted from 5,450 units in the first half of 2024 to 5,050 units in the second half, marking a 7.3% reduction. This adjustment reflects a strategic response to current market conditions, aiming to balance supply with demand amidst three consecutive quarters of increasing uncompleted unsold private residential units, which grew from 16,929 units in Q4 2023 to 19,936 units in Q1 2024.

Strategic Adjustments

The authorities' decision to moderate the GLS supply is influenced by recent property market cooling measures and a cautious sentiment among developers. This measured approach ensures that the supply of private residential units aligns with the housing requirements of the population without oversaturating the market. Additionally, the reserve list supply has been reduced by 10.7%, from 3,460 units in 1H2024 to 3,090 units in 2H2024. The combined supply from both the confirmed and reserve lists totals 8,140 units, an 8.6% decrease.

Notable Confirmed GLS Sites

Key GLS sites on the confirmed list include:

Chencharu Close: Set in Yishun, this site will contribute to the development of 10,000 new homes by 2040, with at least 80% for public housing. It is expected to be a mixed-use integrated development, enhancing connectivity and providing a comprehensive living environment.

Media Circle (Parcels A and B): Located within the One-north precinct, known for its focus on knowledge-intensive sectors, these sites aim to support the local workforce by providing housing options close to workplaces. This aligns with the area’s role in fostering innovation and economic growth.

Bayshore Road: With the opening of the Bayshore MRT station, this site has transitioned from the reserve list to the confirmed list. It is part of a broader transformation of the Bayshore area, including new Build-To-Order (BTO) flats and enhanced amenities, making it a highly attractive location.

Reserve List Sites

A significant site on the reserve list is an Executive Condominium (EC) at Woodlands Drive 17. This marks the first EC site in Woodlands since the Northwave project in 2016, highlighting a key development for the area.

Market Outlook

The strategic moderation of the GLS supply aligns with current market dynamics, ensuring a balanced supply that meets demand. The real estate market in Singapore is closely tied to various factors, including economic conditions, market fluctuations, and regulatory changes. The authorities' measured approach aims to provide a stable and sustainable housing market, supporting economic stability and growth.

Overall, the 2H2024 GLS Programme reflects a cautious yet strategic response to evolving market conditions, ensuring that the supply of residential units aligns with demand while supporting the ongoing development of key areas in Singapore. This approach underscores the importance of adapting to market trends and maintaining a balanced real estate market.

 Click here for the full report 

Prepared By: 

Mohan Sandrasegeran 

Head of Research & Data Analytics  

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Private residential prices continued to increase during the first half of 2026, although growth moderated. Prices rose 1.4% in 1H2026, compared with 1.8% in 1H2025, reflecting a market transitioning towards a more sustainable pace of appreciation. The moderation is attributed to the Government's sustained expansion of housing supply through the Government Land Sales programme and the increasing completion of residential developments, which have widened housing options and reduced upward price pressures. 

Looking ahead, market activity is expected to remain supported by a healthy pipeline of new launches, including Dunearn House, Thomson Reserve, and Lucerne Grand. The successful launch of Lentor Gardens Residences demonstrates that buyer demand remains healthy for well-located and appropriately priced developments. Although global uncertainties, including interest rate expectations, geopolitical tensions and new trade tariffs, may encourage buyers to adopt a more measured approach, Singapore's strong economic fundamentals and transparent regulatory framework are expected to continue supporting market confidence. 

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The HDB resale market remained resilient in 2Q2026, with transaction volumes increasing marginally to 6,396 units, up 1.8% from 6,285 units in 1Q2026. Despite the June 2026 Build-To-Order (BTO) launch of approximately 6,952 flats, including projects in highly sought-after mature estates such as Bishan, Bukit Merah and Ang Mo Kio, resale demand remained broadly stable. This reflects continued underlying demand for resale flats even as buyers are presented with a wider range of public housing options. 

Price movements continued to moderate during the quarter, reinforcing the market's transition towards a healthier and more sustainable phase. The HDB Resale Price Index eased by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, following the 0.1% moderation recorded in 1Q2026. Cumulatively, resale prices moderated by 0.4% in the first half of 2026, a notable shift from the 2.5% increase registered over the same period in 2025. Rather than indicating weakening demand, the moderation reflects the cumulative impact of expanded public housing supply through larger BTO launches, multiple Sale of Balance Flats exercises, Shorter Waiting Time flats, and an increasing number of flats reaching their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP), giving buyers greater choice across different housing segments. 

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The Bayshore Drive Government Land Sale (GLS) tender attracted three competitive bids, with a consortium comprising Frasers Property, Sunway MCL, Sekisui House and Lum Chang submitting the highest bid of $2.13 billion, translating to $1,323 psf per plot ratio (psf ppr). Although this was below the $1,388 psf ppr achieved by the neighbouring Bayshore Road GLS site, now launched as Vela Bay, the difference reflects the distinct planning and development requirements of the Bayshore Drive parcel rather than weaker developer sentiment.

The site is expected to yield approximately 1,280 residential units, making it one of the largest private residential developments within the emerging Bayshore precinct. Unlike a conventional residential project, the site will also incorporate an integrated bus interchange and supporting commercial components alongside Bedok South MRT Station. These additional infrastructure and construction requirements likely influenced developers' bidding strategies while still demonstrating confidence in the area's long-term growth potential.

The encouraging participation from three bidders highlights that developers remain willing to pursue sizeable land parcels where they see strong underlying demand. Confidence has also been supported by the successful launch of neighbouring Vela Bay, which reportedly achieved more than 72% sales during its launch weekend, reinforcing buyer acceptance of the Bayshore precinct. Combined with excellent MRT connectivity, established amenities and the Government's long-term plans for the East Coast, these factors continue to strengthen the investment appeal of the area.

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Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg