25 Jun 2024
GLS Commentary 2H2024 GLS Programme
Property Insight

Moderation in GLS Supply

The second half of 2024 sees a moderation in the Government Land Sales (GLS) programme after seven consecutive increases since 1H2021. The number of residential units on the confirmed list has been adjusted from 5,450 units in the first half of 2024 to 5,050 units in the second half, marking a 7.3% reduction. This adjustment reflects a strategic response to current market conditions, aiming to balance supply with demand amidst three consecutive quarters of increasing uncompleted unsold private residential units, which grew from 16,929 units in Q4 2023 to 19,936 units in Q1 2024.

Strategic Adjustments

The authorities' decision to moderate the GLS supply is influenced by recent property market cooling measures and a cautious sentiment among developers. This measured approach ensures that the supply of private residential units aligns with the housing requirements of the population without oversaturating the market. Additionally, the reserve list supply has been reduced by 10.7%, from 3,460 units in 1H2024 to 3,090 units in 2H2024. The combined supply from both the confirmed and reserve lists totals 8,140 units, an 8.6% decrease.

Notable Confirmed GLS Sites

Key GLS sites on the confirmed list include:

Chencharu Close: Set in Yishun, this site will contribute to the development of 10,000 new homes by 2040, with at least 80% for public housing. It is expected to be a mixed-use integrated development, enhancing connectivity and providing a comprehensive living environment.

Media Circle (Parcels A and B): Located within the One-north precinct, known for its focus on knowledge-intensive sectors, these sites aim to support the local workforce by providing housing options close to workplaces. This aligns with the area’s role in fostering innovation and economic growth.

Bayshore Road: With the opening of the Bayshore MRT station, this site has transitioned from the reserve list to the confirmed list. It is part of a broader transformation of the Bayshore area, including new Build-To-Order (BTO) flats and enhanced amenities, making it a highly attractive location.

Reserve List Sites

A significant site on the reserve list is an Executive Condominium (EC) at Woodlands Drive 17. This marks the first EC site in Woodlands since the Northwave project in 2016, highlighting a key development for the area.

Market Outlook

The strategic moderation of the GLS supply aligns with current market dynamics, ensuring a balanced supply that meets demand. The real estate market in Singapore is closely tied to various factors, including economic conditions, market fluctuations, and regulatory changes. The authorities' measured approach aims to provide a stable and sustainable housing market, supporting economic stability and growth.

Overall, the 2H2024 GLS Programme reflects a cautious yet strategic response to evolving market conditions, ensuring that the supply of residential units aligns with demand while supporting the ongoing development of key areas in Singapore. This approach underscores the importance of adapting to market trends and maintaining a balanced real estate market.

 Click here for the full report 

Prepared By: 

Mohan Sandrasegeran 

Head of Research & Data Analytics  

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According to the flash estimates, private residential property prices increased by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter in 2Q2026, easing from the 0.9% growth recorded in 1Q2026. This brought cumulative price growth for the first half of 2026 to 1.4%, compared with 1.8% during the same period in 2025. The moderation reflects a market returning to a more sustainable trajectory following stronger momentum earlier in the year. Limited new project launches, changes to the Executive Condominium (EC) policy framework, and seasonal factors such as the June school holidays contributed to a slower pace of transactions.

Developers launched an estimated 1,705 private residential units across three projects—Tengah Garden Residences, Vela Bay and Hudson Place Residences—slightly lower than the 1,844 units launched in 1Q2026. Despite the reduced supply, buyer demand remained resilient, with the average launch weekend take-up rate improving from 70.5% to 77.5%. This demonstrates continued demand for well-located and competitively priced developments, particularly among owner-occupiers and HDB upgraders supported by stable employment and healthy household balance sheets.

The HDB resale market also continued to moderate. Flash estimates indicate resale prices declined by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter in 2Q2026 following a slight 0.1% decline in 1Q2026, bringing first-half price growth to -0.4%, compared with a 2.5% increase over the same period in 2025. Rather than indicating market weakness, the slower price movement reflects improving supply conditions through continued Build-to-Order (BTO) launches, a growing number of flats reaching their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP), and expanding resale inventory.

The June 2026 BTO exercise introduced approximately 6,952 flats, including substantial supply in mature estates such as Bishan, Bukit Merah and Ang Mo Kio, providing buyers with more attractive alternatives to the resale market. Increased availability of shorter waiting-time flats has further eased demand pressures on resale housing.

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Much of this optimism is supported by the strong performance of recent residential launches in the River Valley and Zion area. Projects within the precinct have recorded an average launch weekend sales rate of around 79%, with River Modern achieving an impressive 90% take-up during its launch weekend. These healthy absorption rates demonstrate resilient buyer demand and provide developers with greater certainty regarding future sales.

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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Singapore's new home market moderated in May 2026, with developers selling 447 new private homes excluding Executive Condominiums (ECs), down from the 1,548 units transacted in April. 

Despite the monthly moderation, market performance remained encouraging on a year on year basis. New home sales increased by 43.3% from the 312 units sold in May 2025 to 447 units in May 2026. The improvement was primarily driven by stronger activity in the Rest of Central Region (RCR), where sales rose from 191 units to 334 units over the same period. The strong showing highlights continued demand for city fringe developments that offer a balance between accessibility, lifestyle amenities and relative affordability. The year on year growth also suggests that buyer confidence remains intact, with purchasers continuing to participate actively in the market despite a more measured operating environment.

Hudson Place Residences emerged as the standout performer of the month. As the only major launch in May, the project accounted for nearly half of all new private home sales, moving 209 units at a median price of $2,465 psf. The strong response demonstrates that buyers remain receptive to projects that are well located, well connected and competitively positioned within their respective market segments.

Looking ahead, new home sales are expected to remain relatively subdued in June due to the seasonal impact of the mid year school holidays and the limited number of major launches scheduled during the month. However, this is likely to be temporary. Market activity is expected to regain momentum in the second half of 2026 as a fresh pipeline of launches enters the market. Upcoming projects such as Lentor Gardens Residences and Dunearn House are expected to attract healthy interest, while buyers who have remained on the sidelines may return as more options become available. Barring any significant external shocks, the primary residential market is expected to remain on stable footing, supported by resilient underlying demand and a steady pipeline of new launches.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg