17 May 2024
Four HDB Estates - That Are Nearing Million-Dollar Deals
Property Insight

The report on "Four HDB Estates - That Are Nearing Million-Dollar Deals" provides a comprehensive analysis of the rising trend in HDB resale transactions crossing the million-dollar mark in Singapore, particularly focusing on non-mature estates.

Market Trends and Highlights:

In 2023, Singapore witnessed a 27.4% increase in million-dollar HDB resale transactions, totalling 470 deals, up from 369 in the previous year. This trend continued into the first two months of 2024, with 124 such transactions recorded, a significant increase from the 64 recorded during the same period in 2023. Despite these high-value sales, they constitute only a small fraction (1.8%) of the overall resale market.

Case Studies of Non-Mature Estates:

The report focuses on four non-mature estates: Choa Chu Kang, Jurong West, Sembawang, and Sengkang, providing insights into their individual market dynamics and development prospects.

Sengkang: Sengkang has seen a consistent increase in maximum resale prices, reaching approximately $963.0k in early 2024. The development of amenities such as Compass One mall and Sengkang General Hospital has significantly enhanced the area's residential appeal.

Sembawang: The average maximum resale price in Sembawang was around $782.8k in 2023. Developments like the Canberra MRT station and the upcoming North-South Corridor are expected to boost property values through enhanced accessibility and connectivity.

Jurong West: With an average maximum resale price of around $900.8k in 2023, Jurong West is poised for substantial transformation, including the development of Jurong Lake District and Jurong Innovation District, which are expected to establish it as a major economic and innovation hub.

Choa Chu Kang: This area has an upward trajectory in property values, with average maximum resale prices reaching $885.9k in early 2024. Upcoming developments, such as a new integrated hospital in nearby Tengah, are likely to impact property values positively.

Future Outlook:

The analysis suggests a strong potential for the first million-dollar transactions in these estates due to continuous improvements in amenities, connectivity, and the intrinsic appeal of newer, spacious housing units like Executive Maisonettes. The expected completion of significant infrastructural projects will further enhance the liveability and desirability of these areas, potentially pushing resale values to surpass the million-dollar threshold.

This research underscores the dynamic nature of Singapore's HDB resale market and highlights the growing attractiveness of non-mature estates as residential choices due to ongoing and planned developments.

Click here for the full report

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

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HDB Resale Transactions Rise 19.5% in 3Q2026 as Prices Continue to Stabilize

Singapore's HDB resale market recorded stronger transaction activity in 3Q2026, with 7,645 resale flats changing hands, representing a 19.5% increase from the 6,396 transactions in the preceding quarter. This marked the highest quarterly resale transaction volume since 3Q2024, when 8,142 transactions were registered. On a yearly basis, resale transactions increased by approximately 5.9%.

The stronger activity suggests that underlying demand for HDB resale flats remains relatively healthy despite a more measured pricing environment.

One contributing factor could be the absence of a Build To Order (BTO) sales exercise during the quarter, encouraging some prospective buyers to explore resale options. The growing pipeline of flats reaching their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) is also expected to progressively expand resale housing availability, providing buyers with greater choice across locations, flat types and price points.

HDB resale prices moderated by 0.1% quarter on quarter in 3Q2026, marking the third consecutive quarter of price adjustments.

Cumulatively, resale prices declined by 0.5% over the first nine months of 2026, compared with a 2.9% increase over the corresponding period in 2025. This represented the weakest first nine month performance since 2018.

The moderation suggests that the resale market is gradually transitioning towards a more balanced environment following several years of sustained price appreciation.

Importantly, stronger transaction activity alongside moderating prices indicates that buyer interest remains relatively healthy, supported by improving housing availability and more measured price expectations.

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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Private Property Market Remains Resilient in 3Q2026 as Prices Rise 1.4%

Singapore's private residential market continued to demonstrate resilience in 3Q2026, with stronger price growth and relatively stable resale activity, despite a more measured pace of new home sales. The moderation in primary market transactions was largely attributable to a quieter new launch calendar rather than a fundamental weakening in underlying buyer demand.

Developers sold 1,183 new private residential units (excluding executive condominiums) in 3Q2026, compared to 2,141 units in the preceding quarter.

A total of 1,140 new private residential units were launched during the quarter, representing a 36.1% decline from 1,783 units in 2Q2026. This marked the lowest quarterly launch volume since 2Q2024. The quieter launch environment was influenced by the Hungry Ghost Festival and September school holidays, with some prospective buyers potentially deferring purchasing decisions in anticipation of upcoming developments.

Despite fewer launches, newly introduced projects continued to attract buyer interest. Lentor Gardens Residences emerged as the bestselling development with 304 transactions, followed by Dunearn House with 237 units. Together with Amberwood at Holland, these three projects accounted for approximately 47.8% of quarterly new home sales.

The private residential resale market recorded 3,801 transactions in 3Q2026, marginally below the 3,813 transactions in 2Q2026. The Outside Central Region (OCR) remained the largest contributor, accounting for approximately 52.4% of resale transactions. Both the OCR and Rest of Central Region (RCR) registered marginal increases in transaction volumes, collectively representing 82.2% of total resale activity.

This reflects continued demand for resale properties, particularly among owner occupiers, HDB upgraders and households seeking to right size their housing needs.

Private residential prices increased by 1.4% quarter on quarter in 3Q2026, compared to 0.5% in the preceding quarter, marking the strongest quarterly increase recorded so far in 2026. Cumulatively, prices increased by 2.8% over the first nine months of 2026, marginally exceeding the 2.7% growth recorded during the corresponding period in 2025.

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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Singapore's new private residential market recorded a recovery in September 2026, with developers selling 296 units excluding Executive Condominiums (ECs), representing a 93.5% increase from the 153 units sold in August. Sales were also 16.1% higher than the 255 units recorded in September 2025.

The improvement followed a relatively quiet August, when market activity was affected by the absence of major new launches and the Hungry Ghost Festival. Despite limited fresh project inventory in September, transactions improved across all three market segments, reflecting continued buyer interest.

The Rest of Central Region (RCR) accounted for the largest share of developer sales, with 131 units sold, representing 44.3% of the total. The Outside Central Region (OCR) followed closely with 125 units, or 42.2%, while the Core Central Region (CCR) contributed 40 units, equivalent to 13.5%.

Collectively, the RCR and OCR accounted for 86.5% of new private home sales, highlighting the continued importance of these two market segments in supporting transaction activity.

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Newly launched Amberwood at Holland recorded 24 sales at a median price of $3,021 psf, despite only a portion of its units being released during its initial launch.

Other developments, including Lentor Gardens Residences and Dunearn House, continued to register transactions following their July launches, demonstrating that buyer interest extended beyond initial launch weekends.

The anticipated improvement in fourth quarter activity should provide a more positive conclusion to the year, reinforcing the importance of project availability, location and pricing in shaping buyer demand.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg