21 Feb 2024
4Q2023 Quarterly Private Market Trends
Property Insight

The final quarter of 2023 experienced a downturn in Singapore's private property market, with new home sales declining by 43.9% quarter-over-quarter to 1,092 units, contrasting with 1,946 units in the previous quarter. The resale segment also saw a slight decrease, with 2,831 units sold compared to 2,900 in 3Q2023, reflecting a 2.4% decline.

This period's market dynamics were influenced by a limited number of major new launches, with only three primary projects introduced: Hillock Green, J'den, and WattenHouse. This scarcity,coupled with a strategic pullback by developers and the traditional year-end sales slowdown, led to significant reduction in new home sales volume.The best-selling new launch of the quarter wasJ’Den, with 326 units sold, Hillock Green with 124 units sold and Watten House transacting 115 units.These sales figures underline the market's response to new projects despite overall lower activity levels.

An encouraging aspect of the quarter was the decrease in inventory levels of unsold units, especially in the Core Central Region (CCR) and Outside Central Region (OCR), indicating a positive absorption rate and a healthier balance between supply and demand. The inventory of uncompleted unsold units in the CCR dropped from 6,143 to 5,932 units, and in the OCR from 6,134 to 5,928 units,showcasing a robust uptake of properties, likely spurred by high-profile developments.

The Rest of Central Region (RCR) notably outperformed with a 10.9% year-over-year increase in new home sales, totaling 3,031 units in 2023, thanks to several mid-sized and larger projects that resonated well with buyers. This trend highlights the RCR's continued appeal, driven by developments with strategic locations and attractive features.

The overall rental index showed a moderation in growth, easing to 8.7% in 2023 from a significant 29.7% increase in 2022. This change is attributed to the large completion volume of private developments in 2023, with a record-setting 19,968 units (excluding ECs), which helped balance the market dynamics between housing supply and rental demand.

Looking ahead, total new home sales in 2023 reached 6,421 units, a modest decline from 2022, amid property cooling measures, challenging macroeconomic conditions, and high interest rates. The Market Is expected to stabilize in 2024, with sales activities picking up post-Chinese New Year and a series of new project launches anticipated to boost the market. The upcoming completion of private home units and the opening of Stage 4 of the Thomson-East Coast Line are likely to further enhance the property market's appeal and stability in the year ahead.

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Prepared By:
Mohan Sandrasegeran
Head of Research & Data Analytics

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1Q2026 Flash Estimates Point to Stable Demand

According to the 1Q2026 flash estimates, Singapore’s residential property market is transitioning toward a more balanced and sustainable phase, supported by a calibrated increase in housing supply and steady underlying demand. Private residential property prices rose by 0.3% quarter on quarter in 1Q2026, moderating from the 0.6% growth recorded in 4Q2025, reflecting a healthier pace of appreciation amid improved supply conditions .

This moderation comes alongside a notable increase in new launches, with approximately 3,149 units, including Executive Condominiums, introduced during the quarter. Much of this supply was driven by sites from the Government Land Sales programme, which has significantly strengthened the pipeline of upcoming private housing. The expanded supply has enhanced market visibility and helped anchor buyer expectations, reducing the likelihood of sharp price movements while supporting a more orderly market environment .

In the public housing segment, HDB resale prices showed early signs of moderation, easing by 0.1% quarter on quarter in 1Q2026. This marks the first decline since 2Q2019 and reflects the impact of a significant ramp up in supply. The first BTO exercise of the year introduced about 4,692 flats, alongside approximately 4,320 Sale of Balance Flats, providing buyers with more options across both new and completed units .

Overall, the market is entering a phase where supply side measures are taking effect. The continued ramp up in both private and public housing supply is expected to support price stability while maintaining accessibility. With demand fundamentals remaining intact, the residential market is likely to see a more balanced and sustainable trajectory in the year ahead.

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Prepared By:

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Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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01 Apr 2026
Dover Drive Site Draws 6 Bidders as One North Gains Traction

The Government Land Sales tender for the Dover Drive residential site closed with a total of 6 bidders, reflecting a notable increase in participation compared to recent GLS sites in the Media Circle area, which each attracted 3 bidders. This stronger turnout points to improving developer confidence in the one north and Queenstown precinct, supported by the area’s evolving residential and employment landscape.

The top bid of $951.0 million, translating to $1,556 psf ppr, was submitted by a consortium comprising Qingjian Realty, Forsea Residence and Jianan Realty Investments. The relatively tight clustering of bids suggests that developers share a similar view of the site’s underlying value, while the leading bid reflects a strong level of conviction in the precinct’s long term demand fundamentals. The site’s attributes, including its proximity to one north MRT station and Buona Vista, as well as its allowable commercial use at the first storey, further enhance its attractiveness by supporting convenience and liveability for future residents. 

The positive response to the tender also comes on the back of growing momentum within the one north corridor. The Government’s continued push to strengthen Singapore’s innovation economy, including plans for an expanded AI park and initiatives such as Kampong AI, is expected to reinforce one north’s position as a key hub for research, technology and high value industries. This, in turn, is likely to support a sustained pool of housing demand from professionals working within the area. 

In addition, developers are increasingly looking to build scale within the precinct. Qingjian Realty and Forsea Residence have previously secured sites in Media Circle for projects such as Bloomsbury Residences and the upcoming Hudson Place Residences. The latest successful bid at Dover Drive reflects a continued effort to strengthen their presence in a precinct that is still in its growth phase but showing clear signs of maturation.

At the same time, the expanding pipeline of residential sites under the GLS programme, including potential future parcels in Media Circle, provides greater visibility on supply. This may help to anchor buyer expectations and support a more measured pace of price growth, ensuring that market movement remains aligned with underlying demand fundamentals.

Overall, the Dover Drive tender results reinforce growing confidence in the one north precinct. With continued investment in infrastructure, innovation driven industries and a steady pipeline of residential developments, the area is progressively shaping into a well-integrated live work environment with sustained long term residential appeal.

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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Singapore’s new private home market saw a moderation in developer sales in February 2026, largely influenced by seasonal factors rather than any structural weakening in demand. According to SRI Research, developers sold 246 new private homes (excluding ECs) in February, down from 466 units in January, representing a 47.2% month on month moderation. This softer performance was widely anticipated as the month coincided with the Chinese New Year festive period, a time that typically experiences fewer marketing activities and lower buyer turnout. As such, the February figures should be interpreted within the context of seasonal timing and launch schedules rather than a fundamental shift in market demand. 

Despite the monthly moderation, the Core Central Region (CCR) segment has shown encouraging momentum at the start of the year. In the first two months of 2026, a total of 225 CCR units were transacted, compared to 149 units over the same period in 2025, representing a 51.0% year on year increase. This improvement suggests that buyer interest within the prime residential segment has strengthened relative to a year ago. The pickup in activity may reflect growing confidence among high-net-worth buyers, improved pricing alignment between developers and purchasers, as well as selective project launches that have resonated with market demand. Overall, the CCR segment appears to be demonstrating measured resilience despite a calibrated supply environment and existing policy framework. 

The renewed interest in the prime segment was further highlighted by the successful launch of River Modern, which reportedly sold more than 90% of its units during its launch weekend. The strong take up illustrates how well-located developments in prime districts continue to attract confident buyers, even after a series of launches across the River Valley and Zion corridor over the past year. Buyers appear willing to commit when developments offer strong locational attributes, connectivity and long-term value prospects. 

Looking ahead, market activity is expected to gain renewed traction as several upcoming developments enter the launch pipeline. Projects such as Rivelle Tampines, Pinery Residences, Vela Bay, Hudson Place Residences and Tengah Garden Residences are anticipated to re-energize primary market activity across a diverse range of locations and buyer segments. These developments collectively span city fringe areas as well as emerging regional growth corridors, and their launches are expected to reintroduce a steadier cadence of supply into the market. 

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg