SRI - Singapore Realtors Inc.

27 Apr 2026

HDB Resale Market Update 1Q2026: Balanced Growth

The HDB resale market in 1Q2026 reflects a continued transition towards a more balanced and sustainable phase, with both transaction activity and price movements pointing to a gradual normalisation of market conditions. Resale volumes rebounded to 6,285 units in the quarter, representing a 19.6% increase from 4Q2025. This recovery aligns with a recurring seasonal pattern, where activity typically moderates in the fourth quarter before picking up in the first quarter as deferred demand returns to the market.

Price movements in 1Q2026 further reinforce this trend. The HDB Resale Price Index registered a slight moderation of 0.1% quarter on quarter, marking the first instance of easing since 2019. While modest in magnitude, this shift is directionally significant and reflects a continuation of the gradual slowdown in price growth observed throughout 2025. Rather than signalling a weakening market, this development points towards a stabilisation of prices following a sustained period of strong growth, supported by the cumulative impact of earlier supply side measures.

Demand continues to remain broad based across towns and flat types, underpinned by factors such as affordability, availability and location attributes. Areas with a larger supply of flats and improving connectivity continue to anchor transaction volumes, while buyer interest in well located units remains firm. This is evident in the increase in million dollar transactions, which rose to 412 units in 1Q2026. The rise reflects not only the overall recovery in transaction volumes, but also sustained demand for larger and better located flats, particularly in mature estates with strong amenities and accessibility.

Looking ahead, supply dynamics are expected to play an increasingly important role in shaping market conditions. The continued ramp up in BTO supply, the reintroduction of multiple Sale of Balance Flats exercises, and the expanding pool of MOP flats will enhance resale supply depth and provide buyers with greater choice. This is likely to reduce competition intensity for limited stock and support a more stable and sustainable pace of price formation.

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

15 Apr 2026

Developer Sales Jump to 1,937 Units in March 2026 on Surge in New Launches

Developer sales staged a strong recovery in March 2026, with a total of 1,937 units sold including Executive Condominiums (ECs), a significant increase from the 266 units transacted in February. This marks the first time this year that monthly sales have crossed the 1,000-unit threshold, signalling a meaningful pickup in primary market activity following the seasonal lull during the Chinese New Year period.

The rebound in sales was largely driven by a corresponding increase in new project launches. Developers released 1,615 units in March, a substantial rise from the limited supply seen in February. Key projects such as Pinery Residences, Rivelle Tampines and River Modern were major contributors, collectively accounting for about 76.9% of total transactions. This highlights a clear trend in the current market environment where buyer demand remains intact, but is closely tied to the timing, quality and positioning of new launches.

The strong performance of these projects reflects how well calibrated offerings continue to resonate with buyers. In particular, Pinery Residences and Rivelle Tampines each recorded over 500 units sold, underscoring the continued strength of demand in the Outside Central Region (OCR), where pricing remains relatively accessible and is supported by first time buyers and upgraders. At the same time, River Modern’s robust take up, with 416 units sold at a median price of about $3,220 psf, points to sustained interest within the Core Central Region (CCR).

Looking ahead, the momentum observed in March is expected to carry into the coming months, supported by a pipeline of upcoming launches such as Vela Bay and Tengah Garden Residences. As more projects enter the market across both established and emerging precincts, transaction volumes are likely to remain supported by genuine demand, albeit at a more calibrated pace.

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Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

15 Apr 2026

Hoi Hup Tops Miltonia Close EC Site at $732 psf ppr

The tender for the Executive Condominium site at Miltonia Close has concluded with a total of 3 bidders, with Hoi Hup Realty Pte Ltd emerging as the top bidder with an offer of $340.9 million, translating to $732 psf ppr. While the number of bidders is more selective compared to some earlier tenders, it continues to reflect steady developer interest in well located EC sites, particularly within established residential areas.

The top bid is about 7.8% lower than the recently awarded Woodlands Drive 17 GLS site, which achieved $794 psf ppr. Rather than signalling a pullback, this difference points towards a more measured and calibrated approach by developers. With a growing pipeline of EC sites in the North, including parcels in Woodlands, Sembawang, Canberra Drive and Sembawang Drive, developers are likely pacing their land acquisitions more carefully. This reflects a more forward looking strategy, where developers are balancing immediate opportunities with the need to remain competitive within an expanding supply landscape.

At the same time, the Miltonia Close site presents a compelling proposition from a locational and lifestyle perspective. Situated near Lower Seletar Reservoir and within a quieter residential enclave, the site is well positioned to appeal to buyers who prioritise a more tranquil and nature oriented living environment. This suggests that the future development may attract a more defined buyer profile, particularly families and genuine owner occupiers, rather than those driven primarily by proximity to MRT connectivity or commercial nodes.

From a broader market perspective, the EC segment continues to be supported by a stable base of upgrader demand, especially from HDB households seeking to transition into private housing in a more accessible manner. This underlying demand has remained resilient, as seen in recent launches such as Rivelle Tampines, which recorded strong take up rates when projects are well positioned in terms of pricing and attributes.

Looking ahead, the EC market is entering a phase of greater supply visibility, following the ramp up in Government Land Sales supply. This is a positive development for the market, as it supports a more balanced and sustainable environment. With a more consistent pipeline of projects, price movements are likely to become more measured and closely aligned with underlying demand fundamentals, rather than being driven by supply constraints.

Overall, the tender outcome reflects a market that is evolving in a more balanced and sustainable manner. While developers remain active, there is a greater emphasis on discipline, positioning and long term planning. At the same time, demand fundamentals for ECs remain intact, supporting the outlook for steady absorption in well located and appropriately priced developments such as Miltonia Close.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email:

mohan@sri.com.sg