The HDB resale market in 1Q2026 reflects a continued transition towards a more balanced and sustainable phase, with both transaction activity and price movements pointing to a gradual normalisation of market conditions. Resale volumes rebounded to 6,285 units in the quarter, representing a 19.6% increase from 4Q2025. This recovery aligns with a recurring seasonal pattern, where activity typically moderates in the fourth quarter before picking up in the first quarter as deferred demand returns to the market.
Price movements in 1Q2026 further reinforce this trend. The HDB Resale Price Index registered a slight moderation of 0.1% quarter on quarter, marking the first instance of easing since 2019. While modest in magnitude, this shift is directionally significant and reflects a continuation of the gradual slowdown in price growth observed throughout 2025. Rather than signalling a weakening market, this development points towards a stabilisation of prices following a sustained period of strong growth, supported by the cumulative impact of earlier supply side measures.
Demand continues to remain broad based across towns and flat types, underpinned by factors such as affordability, availability and location attributes. Areas with a larger supply of flats and improving connectivity continue to anchor transaction volumes, while buyer interest in well located units remains firm. This is evident in the increase in million dollar transactions, which rose to 412 units in 1Q2026. The rise reflects not only the overall recovery in transaction volumes, but also sustained demand for larger and better located flats, particularly in mature estates with strong amenities and accessibility.
Looking ahead, supply dynamics are expected to play an increasingly important role in shaping market conditions. The continued ramp up in BTO supply, the reintroduction of multiple Sale of Balance Flats exercises, and the expanding pool of MOP flats will enhance resale supply depth and provide buyers with greater choice. This is likely to reduce competition intensity for limited stock and support a more stable and sustainable pace of price formation.
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Prepared By:
Mohan Sandrasegeran
Head of Research & Data Analytics
Email: mohan@sri.com.sg




