SRI - Singapore Realtors Inc.

24 Jan 2025

How 4Q2024 Shaped HDB Resale Prices and Transactions

Property Insight

2024 HDB Resale Review: Sustained Growth Despite Moderation

The HDB resale market in 2024 demonstrated remarkable resilience, with resale prices increasing by 9.7% for the year, nearly double the 4.9% growth recorded in 2023. However, the fourth quarter (4Q2024) showed signs of moderation, with a quarterly price increase of 2.6%, slightly below the 2.7% seen in the third quarter. This moderation is a reflection of a more balanced market as cooling measures and other factors influenced buying activity.

Key Drivers of Price Growth

The robust growth in resale prices was primarily driven by the limited supply of flats reaching their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) in 2024, creating upward pressure on prices. Buyers showed strong interest in newer flats and larger units, such as five-room and executive flats, which cater to the needs of growing families. Executive flats experienced the most significant transaction growth, increasing by 17.6% year-on-year to 1,820 units. This reflects a growing preference for spacious homes amid limited supply.

Resale Volumes and Trends

While resale transactions in 4Q2024 moderated to 6,424 flats, down from 8,142 in 3Q2024, the overall resale volume for 2024 reached 28,986 flats, marking an 8.4% year-on-year increase. This was the highest annual volume since 2021, driven by demand for flats nearing their MOP and larger flat types. Seasonal factors, such as the year-end holiday lull and the October BTO exercise introducing Standard, Plus, and Prime flats, likely contributed to the softer activity in 4Q2024.

Despite the moderation in million-dollar transactions due to cooling measures, the market remained resilient. A total of 1,035 million-dollar resale flats were sold in 2024, more than doubling the 469 transactions in 2023. This underscores the sustained demand for flats with unique attributes, even amid regulatory changes.

Outlook for 2025

In summary, the HDB resale market remains robust despite short-term challenges, with sustained demand for larger units and innovative solutions addressing supply constraints. The strategic mix of immediate and long-term housing options positions Singapore’s public housing landscape for stability and growth in 2025.

Click here for the full report

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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Commentary on Latest Annoucements

Singapore’s latest housing measures represent a calibrated easing of selected market constraints while retaining safeguards against speculative demand, affordability pressures and delayed project delivery. The two key changes are the removal of the 15-month wait-out period for certain HDB resale buyers and longer Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty redevelopment timelines for qualifying large and mega en bloc sites.

With immediate effect, private residential property owners and former owners may purchase a non-subsidised HDB resale flat without waiting 15 months, provided they do not use an HDB housing loan. Eligible buyers must still obtain an HDB Flat Eligibility letter and dispose of any private property in Singapore or overseas within six months of completing the resale-flat purchase. The 30-month wait-out period remains applicable to subsidised HDB flats, executive condominiums purchased from developers and buyers using an HDB housing loan.

The easing restores housing mobility for genuine owner-occupier right-sizers and households undergoing retirement, employment changes, divorce or financial pressure. It removes the need for an extended temporary accommodation period while preserving important eligibility and financing controls.

The policy change comes as HDB resale price momentum has moderated. Resale prices declined by 0.4% in the first half of 2026, the first first-half contraction since 2019. Larger-flat resale volumes have also eased from recent peaks. This suggests that the market has become more balanced following pandemic-era price gains, successive cooling measures and an expansion in housing supply.

The second measure provides longer redevelopment and sales periods for qualifying en bloc sites acquired from 29 July 2026. Large sites with 700 to 1,399 units will receive six years to complete and sell their projects, while mega sites with at least 1,400 units will receive seven years. Mega projects must still sell at least 50% of their units by the end of Year 6, while the 2.5-year construction commencement deadline remains unchanged.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

Property Insight

2Q2026 Singapore Residential Market Report: Resilient Demand Despite Global Uncertainty

Singapore's private residential market remained resilient in 2Q2026, supported by healthy buyer demand despite a gradual moderation in price growth. New home sales (excluding Executive Condominiums) increased to 2,141 units, representing a 6.4% quarter-on-quarter increase from 2,013 units in 1Q2026. The improvement was driven primarily by strong demand within the Outside Central Region (OCR) and Rest of Central Region (RCR), which more than offset slower sales in the Core Central Region (CCR). Well-priced projects such as Tengah Garden Residences, Vela Bay, and Hudson Place Residences attracted strong interest from HDB upgraders and owner-occupiers, reflecting continued preference for city fringe and suburban developments offering better affordability and value.

The resale private residential market also strengthened during the quarter, with transactions rising from 3,225 units to 3,813 units, representing an 18.2% increase from the previous quarter. Growth was broad-based across all market segments, with the OCR continuing to account for the largest share of resale activity due to its relatively affordable pricing, established residential estates and wider selection of family-oriented housing. The increase in completed developments over recent years has expanded resale supply, providing buyers with greater choice while supporting a more balanced and orderly market.

Private residential prices continued to increase during the first half of 2026, although growth moderated. Prices rose 1.4% in 1H2026, compared with 1.8% in 1H2025, reflecting a market transitioning towards a more sustainable pace of appreciation. The moderation is attributed to the Government's sustained expansion of housing supply through the Government Land Sales programme and the increasing completion of residential developments, which have widened housing options and reduced upward price pressures.

Looking ahead, market activity is expected to remain supported by a healthy pipeline of new launches, including Dunearn House, Thomson Reserve, and Lucerne Grand. The successful launch of Lentor Gardens Residences demonstrates that buyer demand remains healthy for well-located and appropriately priced developments. Although global uncertainties, including interest rate expectations, geopolitical tensions and new trade tariffs, may encourage buyers to adopt a more measured approach, Singapore's strong economic fundamentals and transparent regulatory framework are expected to continue supporting market confidence.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

Property Insight

Singapore HDB Resale Market Trends 2Q2026: Stable Demand Amid Growing Supply

The HDB resale market remained resilient in 2Q2026, with transaction volumes increasing marginally to 6,396 units, up 1.8% from 6,285 units in 1Q2026. Despite the June 2026 Build-To-Order (BTO) launch of approximately 6,952 flats, including projects in highly sought-after mature estates such as Bishan, Bukit Merah and Ang Mo Kio, resale demand remained broadly stable. This reflects continued underlying demand for resale flats even as buyers are presented with a wider range of public housing options.

Price movements continued to moderate during the quarter, reinforcing the market's transition towards a healthier and more sustainable phase. The HDB Resale Price Index eased by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, following the 0.1% moderation recorded in 1Q2026. Cumulatively, resale prices moderated by 0.4% in the first half of 2026, a notable shift from the 2.5% increase registered over the same period in 2025. Rather than indicating weakening demand, the moderation reflects the cumulative impact of expanded public housing supply through larger BTO launches, multiple Sale of Balance Flats exercises, Shorter Waiting Time flats, and an increasing number of flats reaching their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP), giving buyers greater choice across different housing segments.

Across the resale market, pricing trends have become increasingly measured and differentiated. Median resale prices for most flat types remained broadly stable or moderated slightly, particularly for 3-room, 5-room and Executive flats. Overall, pricing is becoming more reflective of individual flat attributes such as location, age and remaining lease rather than broad market-wide appreciation.

Looking ahead, the HDB resale market is expected to remain fundamentally resilient as supply continues to expand. Upcoming BTO launches, additional Sale of Balance Flats exercises, Shorter Waiting Time flats and a growing pipeline of MOP flats are expected to further improve housing availability and distribute demand more evenly across BTO and resale segments.

Click

here

for the full report:

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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