SRI - Singapore Realtors Inc.

24 Jan 2025

How 4Q2024 Shaped HDB Resale Prices and Transactions

Property Insight

2024 HDB Resale Review: Sustained Growth Despite Moderation

The HDB resale market in 2024 demonstrated remarkable resilience, with resale prices increasing by 9.7% for the year, nearly double the 4.9% growth recorded in 2023. However, the fourth quarter (4Q2024) showed signs of moderation, with a quarterly price increase of 2.6%, slightly below the 2.7% seen in the third quarter. This moderation is a reflection of a more balanced market as cooling measures and other factors influenced buying activity.

Key Drivers of Price Growth

The robust growth in resale prices was primarily driven by the limited supply of flats reaching their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP) in 2024, creating upward pressure on prices. Buyers showed strong interest in newer flats and larger units, such as five-room and executive flats, which cater to the needs of growing families. Executive flats experienced the most significant transaction growth, increasing by 17.6% year-on-year to 1,820 units. This reflects a growing preference for spacious homes amid limited supply.

Resale Volumes and Trends

While resale transactions in 4Q2024 moderated to 6,424 flats, down from 8,142 in 3Q2024, the overall resale volume for 2024 reached 28,986 flats, marking an 8.4% year-on-year increase. This was the highest annual volume since 2021, driven by demand for flats nearing their MOP and larger flat types. Seasonal factors, such as the year-end holiday lull and the October BTO exercise introducing Standard, Plus, and Prime flats, likely contributed to the softer activity in 4Q2024.

Despite the moderation in million-dollar transactions due to cooling measures, the market remained resilient. A total of 1,035 million-dollar resale flats were sold in 2024, more than doubling the 469 transactions in 2023. This underscores the sustained demand for flats with unique attributes, even amid regulatory changes.

Outlook for 2025

In summary, the HDB resale market remains robust despite short-term challenges, with sustained demand for larger units and innovative solutions addressing supply constraints. The strategic mix of immediate and long-term housing options positions Singapore’s public housing landscape for stability and growth in 2025.

Click here for the full report

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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3Q2025 HDB Resale Market Trends: Steady Growth and Sustained Demand

The HDB resale market maintained steady momentum in 3Q2025, reflecting sustained buyer confidence amid an evolving public housing landscape. While the pace of growth moderated compared to 2024, transaction volumes and prices continued to show resilience, supported by stable demand for well-located and newer flats that have recently reached their Minimum Occupation Period (MOP).

Overall, HDB resale prices increased by 2.9% in the first nine months of 2025, moderating from the stronger 6.9% growth recorded during the same period in 2024. The moderation reflects a gradual normalisation in market conditions as more Build-To-Order (BTO) and Sale of Balance Flats (SBF) supply enters the pipeline. The ramp-up of new flats, particularly those with shorter waiting times, provided buyers with more options and helped to ease the pace of resale price growth.

Resale transactions reached about 7,500 cases in 3Q2025, slightly higher than the previous quarter. Demand remained healthy in both mature and non-mature towns. Mature estates such as Ang Mo Kio, Toa Payoh, and Queenstown continued to attract steady demand due to their accessibility and established amenities, while non-mature towns such as Yishun, Woodlands, and Sengkang drew buyers looking for affordability and newer flats with remaining lease value.

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here

for the full report

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

Property Insight

Developers Regain Confidence as Private Home Sales Surge in 3Q2025

Singapore’s private residential market recorded a strong rebound in the third quarter of 2025, reflecting renewed confidence and improved buyer sentiment following the Federal Reserve’s rate cut in September. Developers launched a total of 4,746 new private homes, marking the highest quarterly launch volume since 2Q2013. The surge in supply was driven by several major projects across all market segments, including Skye at Holland, Penrith, and Faber Residence, which collectively contributed to the robust sales momentum observed during the quarter.

Sales performance was equally upbeat, with 3,320 units (excluding ECs) transacted — a sharp increase from 1,212 units sold in the previous quarter. The healthy take-up rate demonstrates buyers’ growing readiness to re-enter the market, buoyed by an improved macroeconomic outlook, greater project diversity, and stabilising interest rates. Many of these launches stemmed from Government Land Sales (GLS) sites, underlining the government’s continued effort to ensure a sustainable supply pipeline to meet housing needs.

The primary market’s resilience was complemented by sustained activity in the resale segment, which benefited from a tightening pool of completed units and healthy owner-occupier demand. Despite some buyers adopting a more selective approach, resale prices held firm, underscoring the market’s underlying stability.

As Singapore continues to advance its housing pipeline through GLS and urban renewal initiatives under the upcoming Draft Master Plan 2025, the residential market is well-positioned to maintain stability and gradual growth. Buyer prudence is still encouraged, but confidence is expected to strengthen in the months ahead as both affordability and supply visibility improve.

Click

here

for the full report

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

Property Insight

Wee Hur and GSC Holdings Top Bid $613.9 Million for Upper Thomson Road GLS Site (Parcel A)

The top land bid for the Upper Thomson Road (Parcel A) site was submitted by Wee Hur Property Pte Ltd and GSC Holdings Pte Ltd at $613.9 million ($1,062 psf ppr). Their offer edged out the second-highest bid by a narrow 2.1%, underscoring the consortium’s strong conviction and competitive stance in securing this well-located site along the Thomson corridor. For Wee Hur, this marks a timely move to replenish its residential land bank, following its last notable condominium launch, Bartley Vue, a GLS site awarded in 2020.

The site had previously closed in June 2024 without any bids, likely due to the inclusion of a mandatory serviced apartment component in a location where demand for such units was largely untested. This reflected developers’ cautious stance toward projects in emerging residential areas with unconventional use requirements.

Responding to this, the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) introduced refinements in the 1H2025 GLS Programme to make the parcel more appealing. Serviced apartments were no longer a compulsory component, but subject to approval, giving developers more flexibility in conceptualizing their projects. This adjustment demonstrated URA’s responsiveness to market feedback and its commitment to aligning land parcels with prevailing demand dynamics.

These changes yielded positive results. The relaunch attracted five bids, a significant improvement over the earlier tender and even surpassing participation for the neighbouring Parcel B, which received only one bid. The renewed interest was also likely spurred by the successful launch of Springleaf Residence on the adjoining Parcel B site. Developed by GuocoLand and Intrepid Investments, Springleaf Residence achieved an impressive take-up rate exceeding 92% during its launch weekend, reinforcing developer confidence in the area’s growth potential.

The resurgence of interest signals growing recognition of the Springleaf Precinct as an emerging residential enclave with strong connectivity via the Thomson-East Coast Line. Supported by proximity to Springleaf MRT and the corridor’s lush greenery, the area is evolving into a sought-after address for both homeowners and investors.

With more than 95% of units sold, Springleaf Residence is expected to be fully sold before the Parcel A project launches. The limited unsold inventory and positive buyer sentiment will likely support new demand spillover from purchasers who missed earlier opportunities.

Overall, the tender results mark a turning point for Upper Thomson Road, reinforcing confidence in the precinct’s transformation into a vibrant and well-connected residential enclave in the northern region.

Click

here

for the full report

Prepared By:

Mohan Sandrasegeran

Head of Research & Data Analytics

Email: mohan@sri.com.sg

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